Who Should Houston Root For This Weekend?
This is Houston's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Houston is 42.0%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.
View the Houston CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.
Biggest games to watch for Houston
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Kansas vs Kansas State: Root for Kansas State
Houston CFP probability: 43.0% if Kansas State wins, compared with 40.6% if Kansas wins. Difference: 2.4% percentage points.
Houston already beat Kansas State, so Kansas State continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Houston's wins. If it happens, this is tied for the most helpful result of the day for Houston.
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Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion: Root for Georgia Southern
Houston CFP probability: 42.3% if Georgia Southern wins, compared with 40.6% if Old Dominion wins. Difference: 1.7% percentage points.
Houston already beat Georgia Southern, so a Georgia Southern loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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TCU vs Baylor: Root for Baylor
Houston CFP probability: 42.3% if Baylor wins, compared with 41.1% if TCU wins. Difference: 1.2% percentage points.
Houston still has Baylor on its schedule, so Baylor continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable. However, Baylor would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Houston.
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Washington State vs Oregon State: Root for Oregon State
Houston CFP probability: 42.2% if Oregon State wins, compared with 39.9% if Washington State wins. Difference: 2.3% percentage points.
Houston already beat Oregon State, so a Oregon State loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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Florida vs Texas: Root for Florida
Houston CFP probability: 43.0% if Florida wins, compared with 41.2% if Texas wins. Difference: 1.8% percentage points.
Texas is the bigger current at-large threat, so a loss by Texas is more valuable to Houston. However, Florida would improve its own at-large case with a win, but knocking back Texas matters more to Houston.
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Arizona State vs Texas Tech: Root for Texas Tech
Houston CFP probability: 42.4% if Texas Tech wins, compared with 40.2% if Arizona State wins. Difference: 2.2% percentage points.
Houston already lost to Texas Tech, so a Texas Tech loss would make that result look worse on Houston's résumé. However, Texas Tech would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Houston.