Who Should James Madison Root For This Weekend?

This is James Madison's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for James Madison is 9.9%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.

View the James Madison CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.

Biggest games to watch for James Madison

  1. Fresno State vs San Diego State: Root for San Diego State

    James Madison CFP probability: 12.8% if San Diego State wins, compared with 9.1% if Fresno State wins. Difference: 3.7% percentage points.

    James Madison already beat San Diego State, so San Diego State continuing to win strengthens the value of one of James Madison's wins. If it happens, this would be the single most helpful result of the day for James Madison.

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  2. Memphis vs Tulane: Root for Tulane

    James Madison CFP probability: 11.8% if Tulane wins, compared with 9.2% if Memphis wins. Difference: 2.6% percentage points.

    A Memphis loss hurts its chances of winning the American Athletic, weakening one of James Madison's competitors for the fifth automatic bid. A separate schedule factor also helps: Southern Miss links Tulane to James Madison's schedule, so a stronger Tulane adds a little résumé value to James Madison's game with Southern Miss.

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  3. Arkansas State vs Southern Miss: Root for Southern Miss

    James Madison CFP probability: 10.5% if Southern Miss wins, compared with 8.9% if Arkansas State wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.

    James Madison still has Southern Miss on its schedule, so Southern Miss continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable.

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  4. Navy vs UTSA: Root for Navy

    James Madison CFP probability: 11.7% if Navy wins, compared with 9.8% if UTSA wins. Difference: 1.9% percentage points.

    A UTSA loss hurts its chances of winning the American Athletic, weakening one of James Madison's competitors for the fifth automatic bid.

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  5. Troy vs Louisiana: Root for Troy

    James Madison CFP probability: 11.0% if Troy wins, compared with 9.4% if Louisiana wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.

    James Madison still has Troy on its schedule, so Troy continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable. The title-game picture also matters: Louisiana currently has a better chance than Troy to reach the Sun Belt title game, so a loss by Louisiana removes more competition from James Madison's conference-title path.

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  6. Nebraska vs Oregon: Root for Nebraska

    James Madison CFP probability: 10.6% if Nebraska wins, compared with 9.4% if Oregon wins. Difference: 1.2% percentage points.

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  7. Florida vs Texas: Root for Florida

    James Madison CFP probability: 11.0% if Florida wins, compared with 9.9% if Texas wins. Difference: 1.1% percentage points.

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