Who Should LSU Root For This Weekend?
This is LSU's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for LSU is 18.1%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.
View the LSU CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.
Biggest games to watch for LSU
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Oklahoma State vs Houston: Root for Oklahoma State
LSU CFP probability: 20.1% if Oklahoma State wins, compared with 17.8% if Houston wins. Difference: 2.3% percentage points.
Houston is the bigger current at-large threat, so a loss by Houston is more valuable to LSU. However, Oklahoma State would improve its own at-large case with a win, but knocking back Houston matters more to LSU.
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Kentucky vs Oklahoma: Root for Kentucky
LSU CFP probability: 19.3% if Kentucky wins, compared with 17.7% if Oklahoma wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.
LSU already lost to Kentucky, so Kentucky continuing to win makes that loss look better on LSU's résumé. However, Kentucky would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to LSU.
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Alabama vs Tennessee: Root for Tennessee
LSU CFP probability: 19.4% if Tennessee wins, compared with 17.8% if Alabama wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.
LSU still plays both Tennessee and Alabama, so either winner can strengthen a future opponent on LSU's résumé. LSU benefits most from Alabama, a leading CFP contender, taking the loss. However, Tennessee would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to LSU.
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Notre Dame vs BYU: Root for Notre Dame
LSU CFP probability: 18.7% if Notre Dame wins, compared with 16.6% if BYU wins. Difference: 2.1% percentage points.
BYU is the smaller at-large threat today, but a win would raise its at-large chances from 15.7% to 46.3%. Notre Dame would remain a major threat even with a loss (90.5%), so keeping BYU down leaves less combined at-large competition for LSU. However, Notre Dame would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to LSU.
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The Citadel vs Texas A&M: Root for Texas A&M
LSU CFP probability: 18.4% if Texas A&M wins, compared with 16.7% if The Citadel wins. Difference: 1.7% percentage points.
LSU already beat Texas A&M, so a Texas A&M loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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Auburn vs Georgia: Root for Auburn
LSU CFP probability: 20.1% if Auburn wins, compared with 17.9% if Georgia wins. Difference: 2.2% percentage points.
LSU benefits most from Georgia, a leading CFP contender, taking the loss. Schedule context also supports that outcome: LSU still has Auburn on its schedule, so Auburn continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable. If it happens, this is tied for the most helpful result of the day for LSU.
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Colorado State vs Texas State: Root for Texas State
LSU CFP probability: 18.3% if Texas State wins, compared with 17.5% if Colorado State wins. Difference: 0.8% percentage points.
Texas State already lost to Texas, so a Texas State win would make Texas's earlier win more valuable to LSU.
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Charleston Southern vs Clemson: Root for Clemson
LSU CFP probability: 18.2% if Clemson wins, compared with 16.9% if Charleston Southern wins. Difference: 1.3% percentage points.
LSU already beat Clemson, so a Clemson loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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Utah vs Colorado: Root for Colorado
LSU CFP probability: 19.2% if Colorado wins, compared with 18.0% if Utah wins. Difference: 1.2% percentage points.
Utah is a major at-large threat, making a loss by Utah the clearest benefit to LSU. Utah connects to LSU's schedule through Arkansas, so a stronger Utah can add some value to LSU's schedule too.
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Arizona State vs Texas Tech: Root for Arizona State
LSU CFP probability: 19.7% if Arizona State wins, compared with 18.1% if Texas Tech wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.
LSU benefits most from Texas Tech, a leading CFP contender, taking the loss. A separate factor: Arizona State already lost to Texas A&M, so an Arizona State win would make Texas A&M's earlier win more valuable to LSU.