Who Should Missouri Root For This Weekend?

This is Missouri's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Missouri is 16.4%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.

View the Missouri CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.

Biggest games to watch for Missouri

  1. Notre Dame vs BYU: Root for Notre Dame

    Missouri CFP probability: 16.7% if Notre Dame wins, compared with 14.9% if BYU wins. Difference: 1.8% percentage points.

    For Missouri, the 1.5-percentage-point downside of a Notre Dame loss matters more than the upside of a routine win. BYU is the smaller at-large threat today, but a win would raise its at-large chances from 15.7% to 46.3%. Notre Dame would remain a major threat even with a loss (90.5%), so keeping BYU down leaves less combined at-large competition for Missouri. However, Notre Dame would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Missouri. BYU connects to Missouri's schedule through Kansas, so a stronger BYU can add some value to Missouri's schedule too.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  2. Kansas vs Kansas State: Root for Kansas

    Missouri CFP probability: 16.6% if Kansas wins, compared with 15.6% if Kansas State wins. Difference: 1.0% percentage points.

    Missouri already beat Kansas, so Kansas continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Missouri's wins.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  3. Troy vs Louisiana: Root for Troy

    Missouri CFP probability: 16.8% if Troy wins, compared with 15.9% if Louisiana wins. Difference: 0.9% percentage points.

    Missouri already beat Troy, so Troy continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Missouri's wins.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  4. The Citadel vs Texas A&M: Root for Texas A&M

    Missouri CFP probability: 16.6% if Texas A&M wins, compared with 14.8% if The Citadel wins. Difference: 1.8% percentage points.

    Missouri already beat Texas A&M, so a Texas A&M loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  5. Auburn vs Georgia: Root for Georgia

    Missouri CFP probability: 16.5% if Georgia wins, compared with 14.4% if Auburn wins. Difference: 2.1% percentage points.

    A Georgia loss would reduce the résumé value of Missouri's future matchup with Georgia. However, Georgia would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Missouri.

    See this game's national CFP impact