Who Should Tennessee Root For This Weekend?
This is Tennessee's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Tennessee is 14.7%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.
View the Tennessee CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.
Biggest games to watch for Tennessee
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Kentucky vs Oklahoma: Root for Kentucky
Tennessee CFP probability: 17.3% if Kentucky wins, compared with 14.1% if Oklahoma wins. Difference: 3.2% percentage points.
Tennessee still has Kentucky on its schedule, so Kentucky continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable. However, Kentucky would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Tennessee. If it happens, this would be the single most helpful result of the day for Tennessee.
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Mississippi State vs LSU: Root for LSU
Tennessee CFP probability: 15.5% if LSU wins, compared with 12.9% if Mississippi State wins. Difference: 2.6% percentage points.
Tennessee still has LSU on its schedule, so LSU continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable. However, LSU would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Tennessee.
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Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech: Root for Georgia Tech
Tennessee CFP probability: 16.3% if Georgia Tech wins, compared with 14.6% if Virginia Tech wins. Difference: 1.7% percentage points.
Tennessee already beat Georgia Tech, so Georgia Tech continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Tennessee's wins.
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Oklahoma State vs Houston: Root for Oklahoma State
Tennessee CFP probability: 16.0% if Oklahoma State wins, compared with 14.3% if Houston wins. Difference: 1.7% percentage points.
Houston is the bigger current at-large threat, so a loss by Houston is more valuable to Tennessee. However, Oklahoma State would improve its own at-large case with a win, but knocking back Houston matters more to Tennessee.
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The Citadel vs Texas A&M: Root for Texas A&M
Tennessee CFP probability: 14.9% if Texas A&M wins, compared with 12.3% if The Citadel wins. Difference: 2.6% percentage points.
A Texas A&M loss would reduce the résumé value of Tennessee's future matchup with Texas A&M.
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Kennesaw State vs Missouri State: Root for Kennesaw State
Tennessee CFP probability: 14.9% if Kennesaw State wins, compared with 13.8% if Missouri State wins. Difference: 1.1% percentage points.
Tennessee already beat Kennesaw State, so Kennesaw State continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Tennessee's wins.
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Auburn vs Georgia: Root for Auburn
Tennessee CFP probability: 16.5% if Auburn wins, compared with 14.4% if Georgia wins. Difference: 2.1% percentage points.
Tennessee benefits most from Georgia, a leading CFP contender, taking the loss. Schedule context also supports that outcome: Tennessee already beat Auburn, so Auburn continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Tennessee's wins.
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Florida vs Texas: Root for Texas
Tennessee CFP probability: 14.9% if Texas wins, compared with 13.6% if Florida wins. Difference: 1.3% percentage points.
Tennessee already lost to Texas, so a Texas loss would make that result look worse on Tennessee's résumé. However, Texas would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Tennessee.
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Arizona State vs Texas Tech: Root for Arizona State
Tennessee CFP probability: 16.2% if Arizona State wins, compared with 14.6% if Texas Tech wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.
Tennessee benefits most from Texas Tech, a leading CFP contender, taking the loss. A separate factor: Arizona State already lost to Texas A&M, so an Arizona State win would make Texas A&M's earlier win more valuable to Tennessee.