Who Should Texas Tech Root For This Weekend?

This is Texas Tech's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Texas Tech is 76.2%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.

View the Texas Tech CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.

Biggest games to watch for Texas Tech

  1. Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston: Root for Sam Houston

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 77.1% if Sam Houston wins, compared with 74.5% if Western Kentucky wins. Difference: 2.6% percentage points.

    Texas Tech already beat Sam Houston, so Sam Houston continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Texas Tech's wins.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  2. Wisconsin vs UCLA: Root for Wisconsin

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 76.9% if Wisconsin wins, compared with 75.8% if UCLA wins. Difference: 1.1% percentage points.

    UCLA is the bigger current at-large threat, so a loss by UCLA is more valuable to Texas Tech. However, Wisconsin would improve its own at-large case with a win, but knocking back UCLA matters more to Texas Tech.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  3. Utah vs Colorado: Root for Colorado

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 78.7% if Colorado wins, compared with 76.2% if Utah wins. Difference: 2.5% percentage points.

    Texas Tech already beat Colorado, so Colorado continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Texas Tech's wins. The title-game picture also matters: Colorado beating Utah helps Texas Tech's path to the Big 12 championship because the forced result improves Texas Tech's modeled title-game odds. If it happens, this would be the single most helpful result of the day for Texas Tech.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  4. Washington State vs Oregon State: Root for Oregon State

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 76.4% if Oregon State wins, compared with 73.8% if Washington State wins. Difference: 2.6% percentage points.

    Texas Tech already beat Oregon State, so a Oregon State loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  5. Kansas vs Kansas State: Root for Kansas State

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 76.4% if Kansas State wins, compared with 75.5% if Kansas wins. Difference: 0.9% percentage points.

    Kansas State beating Kansas helps Texas Tech's path to the Big 12 championship because the forced result improves Texas Tech's modeled title-game odds. A separate schedule factor also helps: Kansas State has 7 schedule connections to Texas Tech. A stronger Kansas State can make those games more valuable to Texas Tech's résumé.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  6. Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion: Root for Georgia Southern

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 76.6% if Georgia Southern wins, compared with 75.8% if Old Dominion wins. Difference: 0.8% percentage points.

    Georgia Southern already lost to Houston, so a Georgia Southern win would make Houston's earlier win more valuable to Texas Tech.

    See this game's national CFP impact

  7. Tulsa vs Rice: Root for Tulsa

    Texas Tech CFP probability: 76.5% if Tulsa wins, compared with 75.8% if Rice wins. Difference: 0.7% percentage points.

    Tulsa plays Oklahoma State and Sam Houston, two teams that are also on Texas Tech's schedule. A stronger Tulsa can make those games more valuable to Texas Tech's résumé.

    See this game's national CFP impact