Who Should Wisconsin Root For This Weekend?
This is Wisconsin's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Wisconsin is 7.6%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.
View the Wisconsin CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.
Biggest games to watch for Wisconsin
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Notre Dame vs BYU: Root for Notre Dame
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.8% if Notre Dame wins, compared with 5.4% if BYU wins. Difference: 3.4% percentage points.
Wisconsin already lost to Notre Dame, so Notre Dame continuing to win makes that loss look better on Wisconsin's résumé. However, Notre Dame would also improve its own at-large case, which offsets part of that benefit to Wisconsin. If it happens, this is tied for the most helpful result of the day for Wisconsin.
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Ohio State vs Indiana: Root for Indiana
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.5% if Indiana wins, compared with 6.9% if Ohio State wins. Difference: 1.6% percentage points.
Ohio State losing removes some at-large competition for Wisconsin. Indiana is currently the stronger at-large contender, so the evidence is mixed; the overall CFP result still slightly favors Indiana. A separate schedule factor also helps: Indiana has 4 schedule connections to Wisconsin. A stronger Indiana can make those games more valuable to Wisconsin's résumé.
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Washington vs Purdue: Root for Purdue
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.4% if Purdue wins, compared with 7.0% if Washington wins. Difference: 1.4% percentage points.
Wisconsin still has Purdue on its schedule, so Purdue continuing to win would make that matchup more valuable.
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Penn State vs Michigan: Root for Penn State
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.0% if Penn State wins, compared with 7.0% if Michigan wins. Difference: 1.0% percentage points.
Wisconsin already beat Penn State, so Penn State continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Wisconsin's wins.
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Toledo vs Eastern Michigan: Root for Eastern Michigan
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.4% if Eastern Michigan wins, compared with 7.1% if Toledo wins. Difference: 1.3% percentage points.
Wisconsin already beat Eastern Michigan, so Eastern Michigan continuing to win strengthens the value of one of Wisconsin's wins.
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Oklahoma State vs Houston: Root for Oklahoma State
Wisconsin CFP probability: 8.2% if Oklahoma State wins, compared with 7.5% if Houston wins. Difference: 0.7% percentage points.
Houston is the bigger current at-large threat, so a loss by Houston is more valuable to Wisconsin. However, Oklahoma State would improve its own at-large case with a win, but knocking back Houston matters more to Wisconsin.