Who Should Boise State Root For This Weekend?
This is Boise State's Week 7 college football rooting guide, based on published pregame simulations. The model's starting CFP probability for Boise State is 69.5%. The outcomes shown below compare each game separately; they are not cumulative forecasts, live CFP odds, or official committee projections.
View the Boise State CFP outlook and schedule. Choose a different team from the selector to refresh this guide.
Biggest games to watch for Boise State
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Nebraska vs Oregon: Root for Oregon
Boise State CFP probability: 71.2% if Oregon wins, compared with 66.4% if Nebraska wins. Difference: 4.8% percentage points.
Boise State already lost to Oregon, so Oregon continuing to win makes that loss look better on Boise State's résumé.
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Fresno State vs San Diego State: Root for Fresno State
Boise State CFP probability: 70.4% if Fresno State wins, compared with 66.3% if San Diego State wins. Difference: 4.1% percentage points.
Boise State already beat Fresno State, so a Fresno State loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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Georgia State vs James Madison: Root for Georgia State
Boise State CFP probability: 73.3% if Georgia State wins, compared with 69.0% if James Madison wins. Difference: 4.3% percentage points.
A James Madison loss hurts its chances of winning the Sun Belt, weakening one of Boise State's competitors for the fifth automatic bid. James Madison connects to Boise State's schedule through San Diego State, so a stronger James Madison can add some value to Boise State's schedule too. If it happens, this would be the single most helpful result of the day for Boise State.
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Western Michigan vs Central Michigan: Root for Western Michigan
Boise State CFP probability: 69.9% if Western Michigan wins, compared with 66.1% if Central Michigan wins. Difference: 3.8% percentage points.
Boise State already beat Western Michigan, so a Western Michigan loss would reduce the résumé value of that win.
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Tulsa vs Rice: Root for Rice
Boise State CFP probability: 70.2% if Rice wins, compared with 68.7% if Tulsa wins. Difference: 1.5% percentage points.
Rice plays Fresno State and Western Michigan, two teams that are also on Boise State's schedule. A stronger Rice can make those games more valuable to Boise State's résumé.
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Washington vs Purdue: Root for Washington
Boise State CFP probability: 70.0% if Washington wins, compared with 68.7% if Purdue wins. Difference: 1.3% percentage points.
Washington has 3 schedule connections to Boise State. A stronger Washington can make those games more valuable to Boise State's résumé.
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Kansas vs Kansas State: Root for Kansas State
Boise State CFP probability: 69.8% if Kansas State wins, compared with 68.9% if Kansas wins. Difference: 0.9% percentage points.
Boise State's schedule connects to Kansas State through Washington State; a Kansas State win can make that shared opponent more valuable.
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Toledo vs Eastern Michigan: Root for Toledo
Boise State CFP probability: 69.9% if Toledo wins, compared with 68.8% if Eastern Michigan wins. Difference: 1.1% percentage points.
Toledo plays San Diego State and Western Michigan, two teams that are also on Boise State's schedule. A stronger Toledo can make those games more valuable to Boise State's résumé.
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Kent State vs South Florida: Root for Kent State
Boise State CFP probability: 71.3% if Kent State wins, compared with 69.4% if South Florida wins. Difference: 1.9% percentage points.
Kent State already lost to Western Michigan, so a Kent State win would make Western Michigan's earlier win more valuable to Boise State.