Auburn vs Georgia CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Auburn at Georgia . 2026-10-17 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #25. Georgia -18.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Auburn playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.6% 3.8% 0.5% At-large 0.6% 3.7% 0.5% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% Conference title game 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 96.4% 97.3% 85.8% At-large 40.5% 40.7% 36.4% Automatic bid 55.9% 55.7% 48.5% Conference title game 92.0% 93.2% 78.2%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings LSU : 2.2% outcome swing; Auburn winsMissouri : 2.1% outcome swing; Georgia winsTennessee : 2.1% outcome swing; Auburn winsUCLA : 1.4% outcome swing; Auburn winsIowa : 0.8% outcome swing; Auburn winsImpacts if Auburn wins LSU : 2.0% change; Auburn winsMissouri : -2.0% change; Georgia winsTennessee : 1.8% change; Auburn winsUCLA : 1.3% change; Auburn winsOhio State : 0.9% change; Auburn winsImpacts if Georgia wins Tennessee : -0.3% change; Auburn winsBYU : -0.2% change; Auburn winsLSU : -0.2% change; Auburn winsMississippi State : -0.2% change; Auburn winsUSC : 0.2% change; Either outcomeBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Auburn wins Georgia wins Swing Better outcome Georgia SEC 96.4% 85.8% 97.3% 11.5% Georgia wins Auburn SEC 0.6% 3.8% 0.5% 3.3% Auburn wins LSU SEC 18.1% 20.1% 17.9% 2.2% Auburn wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 14.4% 16.5% 2.1% Georgia wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 16.5% 14.4% 2.1% Auburn wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 27.1% 25.7% 1.4% Auburn wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.1% 18.3% 0.8% Auburn wins Mississippi State SEC 5.8% 6.4% 5.6% 0.8% Auburn wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.6% 78.8% 0.8% Auburn wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.6% 41.9% 0.7% Auburn wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.9% 36.3% 0.6% Auburn wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 18.5% 19.1% 0.6% Georgia wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 9.6% 9.1% 0.5% Auburn wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.7% 59.3% 0.4% Auburn wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.7% 6.4% 0.3% Auburn wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 0.3% Auburn wins Oklahoma SEC 14.5% 14.2% 14.5% 0.3% Georgia wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 0.3% Auburn wins Texas SEC 83.7% 83.5% 83.8% 0.3% Georgia wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.5% 76.2% 0.3% Auburn wins