Kentucky vs Oklahoma CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Kentucky at Oklahoma . 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #8. Oklahoma -6.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 13.9% 24.6% 6.6% At-large 13.5% 25.6% 8.6% Automatic bid 0.4% 1.0% 0.0% Conference title game 4.2% 9.9% 1.9%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 14.5% 17.1% 4.7% At-large 13.0% 16.1% 5.3% Automatic bid 1.5% 1.6% 0.0% Conference title game 7.6% 9.6% 0.5%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Tennessee : 3.2% outcome swing; Kentucky winsAlabama : 2.0% outcome swing; Kentucky winsOle Miss : 2.0% outcome swing; Oklahoma winsLSU : 1.6% outcome swing; Kentucky winsNew Mexico : 1.3% outcome swing; Oklahoma winsImpacts if Oklahoma wins Ole Miss : 1.1% change; Oklahoma winsOhio State : 1.0% change; Oklahoma winsUCLA : 0.8% change; Oklahoma winsAlabama : -0.7% change; Kentucky winsTennessee : -0.6% change; Kentucky winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Kentucky wins Oklahoma wins Swing Better outcome Kentucky SEC 13.9% 24.6% 6.6% 18.0% Kentucky wins Oklahoma SEC 14.5% 4.7% 17.1% 12.4% Oklahoma wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 17.3% 14.1% 3.2% Kentucky wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 78.4% 76.4% 2.0% Kentucky wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 18.3% 20.3% 2.0% Oklahoma wins LSU SEC 18.1% 19.3% 17.7% 1.6% Kentucky wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 2.7% 4.0% 1.3% Oklahoma wins Mississippi State SEC 5.8% 4.8% 5.9% 1.1% Oklahoma wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 17.7% 18.8% 1.1% Oklahoma wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.7% 79.7% 1.0% Oklahoma wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 86.9% 87.8% 0.9% Oklahoma wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.3% 18.2% 0.9% Oklahoma wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.0% 18.8% 0.8% Oklahoma wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.0% 96.7% 0.7% Oklahoma wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 15.7% 16.4% 0.7% Oklahoma wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 0.6% Oklahoma wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.4% 41.9% 0.5% Oklahoma wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.8% 4.4% 0.4% Kentucky wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.5% 7.9% 0.4% Oklahoma wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.2% 3.9% 0.3% Kentucky wins