Alabama vs Tennessee CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Alabama at Tennessee . 2026-10-17 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #2. Alabama -6.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 77.1% 88.0% 53.6% At-large 56.7% 60.7% 45.3% Automatic bid 20.4% 24.6% 5.6% Conference title game 41.1% 52.5% 9.9%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 14.7% 31.6% 6.9% At-large 13.3% 29.1% 7.9% Automatic bid 1.4% 3.6% 0.1% Conference title game 6.4% 17.4% 0.4%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Oklahoma : 2.4% outcome swing; Alabama winsLSU : 1.6% outcome swing; Tennessee winsTexas : 1.5% outcome swing; Tennessee winsHouston : 1.4% outcome swing; Tennessee winsOregon : 1.4% outcome swing; Tennessee winsImpacts if Alabama wins Houston : -0.7% change; Tennessee winsOregon : -0.6% change; Tennessee winsOklahoma : 0.5% change; Alabama winsNebraska : -0.4% change; Tennessee winsLSU : -0.3% change; Tennessee winsImpacts if Tennessee wins Oklahoma : -1.9% change; Alabama winsLSU : 1.3% change; Tennessee winsTexas : 1.2% change; Tennessee winsUtah : 1.0% change; Tennessee winsBYU : 0.9% change; Tennessee winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Alabama wins Tennessee wins Swing Better outcome Alabama SEC 77.1% 88.0% 53.6% 34.4% Alabama wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 6.9% 31.6% 24.7% Tennessee wins Oklahoma SEC 14.5% 15.0% 12.6% 2.4% Alabama wins LSU SEC 18.1% 17.8% 19.4% 1.6% Tennessee wins Texas SEC 83.7% 83.4% 84.9% 1.5% Tennessee wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.3% 42.7% 1.4% Tennessee wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.3% 18.7% 1.4% Tennessee wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.4% 37.4% 1.0% Tennessee wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.2% 19.2% 1.0% Tennessee wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.5% 79.5% 1.0% Tennessee wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.0% 76.9% 0.9% Tennessee wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.4% 60.3% 0.9% Tennessee wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.6% 6.3% 0.7% Tennessee wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.1% 18.8% 0.7% Tennessee wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 9.3% 9.9% 0.6% Tennessee wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 0.6% Tennessee wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.4% 18.8% 0.6% Alabama wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.7% 26.3% 0.6% Tennessee wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.0% 13.5% 0.5% Alabama wins North Carolina ACC 3.1% 3.0% 2.5% 0.5% Alabama wins