Florida vs Texas CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Florida at Texas . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #10. Texas -9.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 3.0% 12.6% 1.6% At-large 3.0% 12.6% 2.1% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% Conference title game 0.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Texas playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 83.7% 87.8% 60.3% At-large 68.0% 69.5% 51.3% Automatic bid 15.7% 16.4% 7.1% Conference title game 33.9% 35.7% 13.8%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Kentucky : 2.7% outcome swing; Florida winsHouston : 1.8% outcome swing; Florida winsOregon : 1.8% outcome swing; Florida winsLSU : 1.4% outcome swing; Texas winsOhio State : 1.4% outcome swing; Florida winsImpacts if Texas wins Houston : -0.8% change; Florida winsOklahoma : 0.3% change; Texas winsOregon : -0.3% change; Florida winsAlabama : -0.2% change; Florida winsKentucky : -0.2% change; Florida winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Florida wins Texas wins Swing Better outcome Texas SEC 83.7% 60.3% 87.8% 27.5% Texas wins Florida SEC 3.0% 12.6% 1.6% 11.0% Florida wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 16.4% 13.7% 2.7% Florida wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 43.0% 41.2% 1.8% Florida wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 19.4% 17.6% 1.8% Florida wins LSU SEC 18.1% 16.7% 18.1% 1.4% Texas wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 80.1% 78.7% 1.4% Florida wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 13.6% 14.9% 1.3% Texas wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 60.4% 59.1% 1.3% Florida wins Oklahoma SEC 14.5% 13.6% 14.8% 1.2% Texas wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 11.0% 9.9% 1.1% Florida wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.4% 18.4% 1.0% Florida wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 15.7% 14.7% 1.0% Florida wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 37.4% 36.5% 0.9% Florida wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 97.2% 96.3% 0.9% Florida wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 88.4% 87.5% 0.9% Florida wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.7% 3.8% 0.9% Florida wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 19.4% 18.5% 0.9% Florida wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 68.8% 69.6% 0.8% Texas wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 26.4% 25.6% 0.8% Florida wins