Arkansas vs Auburn CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Arkansas at Auburn. 2026-11-07 17:45 UTC. National Impact rank: #36. Line unavailable.

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Arkansas playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Auburn playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Alabama: 2.0% outcome swing; Auburn wins
  2. Ole Miss: 1.1% outcome swing; Auburn wins
  3. Texas: 1.0% outcome swing; Arkansas wins
  4. Arizona: 0.7% outcome swing; Arkansas wins
  5. Missouri: 0.5% outcome swing; Arkansas wins

Impacts if Arkansas wins

  1. Alabama: -1.7% change; Auburn wins
  2. Ole Miss: -1.0% change; Auburn wins
  3. Texas: 0.9% change; Arkansas wins
  4. Arizona: 0.5% change; Arkansas wins
  5. Missouri: 0.4% change; Arkansas wins

Impacts if Auburn wins

  1. Alabama: 0.3% change; Auburn wins
  2. Arizona: -0.2% change; Arkansas wins
  3. BYU: 0.2% change; Arkansas wins
  4. Utah: -0.2% change; Arkansas wins
  5. Florida: 0.1% change; Auburn wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentArkansas winsAuburn winsSwingBetter outcome
AlabamaSEC76.5%74.8%76.8%2.0%Auburn wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%49.4%50.5%1.1%Auburn wins
TexasSEC62.2%63.1%62.1%1.0%Arkansas wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.9%12.2%0.7%Arkansas wins
MissouriSEC7.0%7.4%6.9%0.5%Arkansas wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.2%4.6%0.4%Auburn wins
UtahBig 1283.4%83.6%83.2%0.4%Arkansas wins
Notre DameFBS Independents87.7%88.0%87.7%0.3%Arkansas wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%70.1%69.8%0.3%Arkansas wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.4%49.2%0.2%Arkansas wins
MiamiACC98.7%98.5%98.7%0.2%Auburn wins
South CarolinaSEC7.5%7.7%7.5%0.2%Arkansas wins
Texas TechBig 1244.8%45.0%44.8%0.2%Arkansas wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%56.7%56.8%0.1%Auburn wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.7%51.6%0.1%Arkansas wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%84.7%84.8%0.1%Auburn wins
HoustonBig 1237.1%37.0%37.1%0.1%Auburn wins
IndianaBig Ten88.9%88.8%88.9%0.1%Auburn wins
OregonBig Ten6.2%6.1%6.2%0.1%Auburn wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.3%26.2%0.1%Arkansas wins