Georgia vs Ole Miss CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Georgia at Ole Miss. 2026-11-08 00:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #1. Georgia -3.
Georgia playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 84.9% | 97.3% | 70.8% |
| At-large | 43.0% | 40.3% | 46.3% |
| Automatic bid | 41.9% | 56.3% | 23.8% |
| Conference title game | 69.2% | 94.5% | 39.6% |
Ole Miss playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 50.4% | 77.7% | 26.1% |
| At-large | 37.9% | 53.4% | 25.5% |
| Automatic bid | 12.5% | 24.2% | 0.5% |
| Conference title game | 28.1% | 53.9% | 2.1% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Indiana: 2.4% outcome swing; Georgia wins
- Alabama: 2.2% outcome swing; Georgia wins
- Tennessee: 2.2% outcome swing; Georgia wins
- BYU: 2.1% outcome swing; Georgia wins
- Wake Forest: 2.0% outcome swing; Georgia wins
Impacts if Georgia wins
Impacts if Ole Miss wins
- Indiana: -1.4% change; Georgia wins
- BYU: -1.2% change; Georgia wins
- Wake Forest: -1.2% change; Georgia wins
- Kentucky: -1.1% change; Georgia wins
- Ohio State: -1.1% change; Georgia wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Georgia wins | Ole Miss wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 26.1% | 77.7% | 51.6% | Ole Miss wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 97.3% | 70.8% | 26.5% | Georgia wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 89.9% | 87.5% | 2.4% | Georgia wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 78.2% | 76.0% | 2.2% | Georgia wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 27.3% | 25.1% | 2.2% | Georgia wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 50.2% | 2.1% | Georgia wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 46.1% | 44.1% | 2.0% | Georgia wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.9% | 25.2% | 1.7% | Georgia wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 38.2% | 36.6% | 1.6% | Georgia wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 46.0% | 44.5% | 1.5% | Georgia wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.8% | 82.3% | 1.5% | Georgia wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.3% | Georgia wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 45.6% | 44.3% | 1.3% | Georgia wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.8% | 68.7% | 1.1% | Georgia wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.9% | 86.9% | 1.0% | Georgia wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.0% | 62.9% | 0.9% | Ole Miss wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 0.8% | Georgia wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 0.8% | Georgia wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 0.7% | Georgia wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 0.7% | Georgia wins |