Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Vanderbilt at Mississippi State. 2026-11-07 21:15 UTC. National Impact rank: #28. Line unavailable.
Vanderbilt playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Mississippi State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Tennessee: 1.7% outcome swing; Vanderbilt wins
- Wake Forest: 1.1% outcome swing; Vanderbilt wins
- Florida: 0.9% outcome swing; Vanderbilt wins
- LSU: 0.8% outcome swing; Mississippi State wins
- Ole Miss: 0.8% outcome swing; Mississippi State wins
Impacts if Vanderbilt wins
- Tennessee: 1.2% change; Vanderbilt wins
- Wake Forest: 0.9% change; Vanderbilt wins
- UCLA: -0.7% change; Mississippi State wins
- Ole Miss: -0.6% change; Mississippi State wins
- Florida: 0.5% change; Vanderbilt wins
Impacts if Mississippi State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Vanderbilt wins | Mississippi State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 27.4% | 25.7% | 1.7% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 46.2% | 45.1% | 1.1% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | Vanderbilt wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 48.6% | 49.4% | 0.8% | Mississippi State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 49.8% | 50.6% | 0.8% | Mississippi State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 44.8% | 45.6% | 0.8% | Mississippi State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 85.4% | 84.8% | 0.6% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 0.6% | Mississippi State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 0.4% | Mississippi State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.7% | 26.3% | 0.4% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 61.9% | 62.3% | 0.4% | Mississippi State wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.5% | 87.8% | 0.3% | Mississippi State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.6% | 0.2% | Mississippi State wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.7% | 69.9% | 0.2% | Mississippi State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.4% | 0.1% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.1% | Vanderbilt wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.7% | 56.8% | 0.1% | Mississippi State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.0% | 37.1% | 0.1% | Mississippi State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.9% | 88.8% | 0.1% | Vanderbilt wins |