Notre Dame vs BYU CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Notre Dame at BYU . 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #4. Notre Dame -10.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Path Current With win With loss CFP 98.4% 99.7% 90.5% At-large 98.4% 99.8% 90.6% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
BYU playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 36.5% 66.8% 30.6% At-large 15.7% 46.8% 10.2% Automatic bid 20.8% 20.5% 20.9%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Utah : 6.4% outcome swing; BYU winsUCLA : 3.8% outcome swing; Notre Dame winsWisconsin : 3.4% outcome swing; Notre Dame winsIowa : 3.1% outcome swing; Notre Dame winsWake Forest : 2.8% outcome swing; Notre Dame winsImpacts if Notre Dame wins Wisconsin : 1.2% change; Notre Dame winsUtah : -1.0% change; BYU winsWake Forest : 0.9% change; Notre Dame winsIowa : 0.8% change; Notre Dame winsLSU : 0.6% change; Notre Dame winsImpacts if BYU wins Utah : 5.4% change; BYU winsUCLA : -3.3% change; Notre Dame winsIowa : -2.3% change; Notre Dame winsWisconsin : -2.2% change; Notre Dame winsBaylor : 2.1% change; BYU winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Notre Dame wins BYU wins Swing Better outcome BYU Big 12 36.5% 30.6% 66.8% 36.2% BYU wins Notre Dame FBS Independents 98.4% 99.7% 90.5% 9.2% Notre Dame wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 58.3% 64.7% 6.4% BYU wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 26.3% 22.5% 3.8% Notre Dame wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 8.8% 5.4% 3.4% Notre Dame wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.2% 16.1% 3.1% Notre Dame wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 15.6% 12.8% 2.8% Notre Dame wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.1% 8.5% 2.4% BYU wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 88.0% 85.6% 2.4% Notre Dame wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.0% 76.7% 2.3% Notre Dame wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.7% 16.6% 2.1% Notre Dame wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.1% 16.0% 2.1% Notre Dame wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 9.5% 7.6% 1.9% Notre Dame wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.7% 14.9% 1.8% Notre Dame wins Miami ACC 95.1% 95.3% 93.6% 1.7% Notre Dame wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.3% 75.7% 1.6% Notre Dame wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.5% 7.0% 1.5% BYU wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 18.5% 17.0% 1.5% Notre Dame wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 75.7% 77.2% 1.5% BYU wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.9% 12.7% 1.2% Notre Dame wins