Arizona State vs Texas Tech CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Arizona State at Texas Tech . 2026-10-17 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #13. Texas Tech -14.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 76.2% 77.2% 49.4% At-large 43.0% 43.6% 26.6% Automatic bid 33.2% 33.9% 23.1% Conference title game 64.8% 65.8% 41.4%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings BYU : 3.8% outcome swing; Arizona State winsOregon : 2.7% outcome swing; Arizona State winsHouston : 2.2% outcome swing; Texas Tech winsUSC : 1.9% outcome swing; Arizona State winsLSU : 1.6% outcome swing; Arizona State winsImpacts if Arizona State wins BYU : 3.8% change; Arizona State winsOregon : 2.7% change; Arizona State winsUSC : 2.0% change; Arizona State winsHouston : -1.8% change; Texas Tech winsLSU : 1.6% change; Arizona State winsImpacts if Texas Tech wins Houston : 0.4% change; Texas Tech winsWisconsin : -0.3% change; Arizona State winsKentucky : -0.2% change; Arizona State winsMissouri : -0.2% change; Arizona State winsNorthwestern : -0.2% change; Arizona State winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Arizona State wins Texas Tech wins Swing Better outcome Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 49.4% 77.2% 27.8% Texas Tech wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 40.3% 36.5% 3.8% Arizona State wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 20.6% 17.9% 2.7% Arizona State wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 40.2% 42.4% 2.2% Texas Tech wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 20.7% 18.8% 1.9% Arizona State wins LSU SEC 18.1% 19.7% 18.1% 1.6% Arizona State wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 20.1% 18.5% 1.6% Arizona State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 16.2% 14.6% 1.6% Arizona State wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 15.2% 13.7% 1.5% Arizona State wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 8.8% 7.3% 1.5% Arizona State wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.9% 78.6% 1.3% Arizona State wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 27.1% 25.8% 1.3% Arizona State wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.6% 18.4% 1.2% Arizona State wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 17.4% 16.2% 1.2% Arizona State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 78.0% 77.0% 1.0% Arizona State wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 10.0% 9.0% 1.0% Arizona State wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 20.1% 19.1% 1.0% Arizona State wins Texas SEC 83.7% 84.6% 83.7% 0.9% Arizona State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 88.1% 87.4% 0.7% Arizona State wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 0.6% Arizona State wins