Cincinnati vs West Virginia CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Cincinnati at West Virginia . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #32. West Virginia -1.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 1.0% 1.2% 0.4% At-large 0.9% 1.2% 0.5% Automatic bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% Conference title game 0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings BYU : 2.0% outcome swing; Cincinnati winsOklahoma State : 0.8% outcome swing; West Virginia winsMissouri : 0.5% outcome swing; West Virginia winsAlabama : 0.4% outcome swing; West Virginia winsBoise State : 0.3% outcome swing; Cincinnati winsImpacts if Cincinnati wins BYU : 1.2% change; Cincinnati winsMissouri : -0.4% change; West Virginia winsBaylor : 0.2% change; Cincinnati winsBoise State : 0.2% change; Cincinnati winsJames Madison : -0.2% change; West Virginia winsImpacts if West Virginia wins BYU : -0.8% change; Cincinnati winsOklahoma State : 0.7% change; West Virginia winsAlabama : 0.3% change; West Virginia winsHouston : -0.3% change; Cincinnati winsTexas Tech : -0.3% change; Cincinnati winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Cincinnati wins West Virginia wins Swing Better outcome BYU Big 12 36.5% 37.7% 35.7% 2.0% Cincinnati wins Cincinnati Big 12 1.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% Cincinnati wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 0.8% West Virginia wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.0% 16.5% 0.5% West Virginia wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.0% 77.4% 0.4% West Virginia wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.7% 69.4% 0.3% Cincinnati wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.0% 41.7% 0.3% Cincinnati wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.3% 18.6% 0.3% West Virginia wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.7% 10.0% 0.3% West Virginia wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.8% 14.1% 0.3% West Virginia wins North Carolina ACC 3.1% 3.0% 3.3% 0.3% West Virginia wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.2% 75.9% 0.3% Cincinnati wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.7% 19.0% 0.3% West Virginia wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.6% 5.8% 0.2% West Virginia wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 0.2% Cincinnati wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 9.1% 9.3% 0.2% West Virginia wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.8% 18.0% 0.2% West Virginia wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.6% 14.8% 0.2% West Virginia wins Clemson ACC 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% Cincinnati wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.1% 18.2% 0.1% West Virginia wins