Kansas vs Kansas State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Kansas at Kansas State . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #23. Kansas State -6.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
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Kansas playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% Conference title game 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Conference title game 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Houston : 2.4% outcome swing; Kansas State winsBYU : 1.5% outcome swing; Kansas winsUtah : 1.5% outcome swing; Kansas winsMissouri : 1.0% outcome swing; Kansas winsBoise State : 0.9% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
Impacts if Kansas wins Houston : -1.4% change; Kansas State winsBYU : 1.1% change; Kansas winsUtah : 0.9% change; Kansas winsTexas Tech : -0.7% change; Kansas State winsArizona : -0.6% change; Kansas State wins
Impacts if Kansas State wins Houston : 1.0% change; Kansas State winsMissouri : -0.8% change; Kansas winsUtah : -0.6% change; Kansas winsBYU : -0.4% change; Kansas winsOregon : -0.4% change; Kansas wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Kansas wins Kansas State wins Swing Better outcome Houston Big 12 42.0% 40.6% 43.0% 2.4% Kansas State wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 37.6% 36.1% 1.5% Kansas wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 60.2% 58.7% 1.5% Kansas wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.6% 15.6% 1.0% Kansas wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 68.9% 69.8% 0.9% Kansas State wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 75.5% 76.4% 0.9% Kansas State wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.1% 5.9% 0.8% Kansas State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 15.2% 14.6% 0.6% Kansas wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.4% 9.9% 0.5% Kansas wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.1% 87.5% 0.4% Kansas State wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.9% 17.5% 0.4% Kansas wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.2% 13.9% 0.3% Kansas wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 9.1% 9.4% 0.3% Kansas State wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 0.3% Kansas State wins Texas SEC 83.7% 84.0% 83.7% 0.3% Kansas wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 0.3% Kansas wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 0.2% Kansas wins Kansas State Big 12 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% Kansas State wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.3% 18.1% 0.2% Kansas wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 0.2% Kansas wins