Oklahoma State vs Houston CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Oklahoma State at Houston . 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #6. Houston -4.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 4.3% 10.9% 2.2% At-large 2.1% 6.8% 0.9% Automatic bid 2.2% 4.2% 1.4% Conference title game 6.6% 16.2% 3.7%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 42.0% 49.2% 16.8% At-large 35.1% 40.2% 14.5% Automatic bid 6.9% 7.9% 1.2% Conference title game 16.8% 19.1% 2.7%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Utah : 3.5% outcome swing; Houston winsUSC : 3.0% outcome swing; Oklahoma State winsOregon : 2.9% outcome swing; Oklahoma State winsUCLA : 2.7% outcome swing; Oklahoma State winsLSU : 2.3% outcome swing; Oklahoma State winsImpacts if Oklahoma State wins Utah : -2.9% change; Houston winsUSC : 2.4% change; Oklahoma State winsLSU : 2.0% change; Oklahoma State winsOregon : 2.0% change; Oklahoma State winsUCLA : 1.8% change; Oklahoma State winsImpacts if Houston wins Oregon : -0.9% change; Oklahoma State winsUCLA : -0.9% change; Oklahoma State winsUSC : -0.6% change; Oklahoma State winsUtah : 0.6% change; Houston winsTennessee : -0.4% change; Oklahoma State winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Oklahoma State wins Houston wins Swing Better outcome Houston Big 12 42.0% 16.8% 49.2% 32.4% Houston wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 10.9% 2.2% 8.7% Oklahoma State wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 56.4% 59.9% 3.5% Houston wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 21.1% 18.1% 3.0% Oklahoma State wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 19.9% 17.0% 2.9% Oklahoma State wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 27.6% 24.9% 2.7% Oklahoma State wins LSU SEC 18.1% 20.1% 17.8% 2.3% Oklahoma State wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 80.2% 78.4% 1.8% Oklahoma State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 16.0% 14.3% 1.7% Oklahoma State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 78.4% 76.8% 1.6% Oklahoma State wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 19.8% 18.2% 1.6% Oklahoma State wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 74.8% 76.4% 1.6% Houston wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 88.5% 87.2% 1.3% Oklahoma State wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.8% 13.6% 1.2% Oklahoma State wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.6% 18.5% 1.1% Oklahoma State wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 17.3% 16.3% 1.0% Oklahoma State wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.9% 18.9% 1.0% Oklahoma State wins Texas SEC 83.7% 84.3% 83.6% 0.7% Oklahoma State wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 0.7% Oklahoma State wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.8% 36.3% 0.5% Oklahoma State wins