Utah vs Colorado CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Utah at Colorado. 2026-10-18 02:15 UTC. National Impact rank: #11. Utah -16.5.

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Utah playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP59.3%61.5%32.6%
At-large27.0%28.2%11.7%
Automatic bid32.3%33.1%20.7%
Conference title game53.0%54.6%34.9%

Colorado playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.1%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Oklahoma State: 2.6% outcome swing; Colorado wins
  2. Texas Tech: 2.5% outcome swing; Colorado wins
  3. Oregon: 2.1% outcome swing; Colorado wins
  4. USC: 1.9% outcome swing; Colorado wins
  5. Northwestern: 1.8% outcome swing; Colorado wins

Impacts if Utah wins

  1. Baylor: -0.3% change; Colorado wins
  2. Oklahoma State: -0.3% change; Colorado wins
  3. USC: -0.3% change; Colorado wins
  4. Houston: 0.2% change; Colorado wins
  5. Oregon: -0.2% change; Colorado wins

Impacts if Colorado wins

  1. Texas Tech: 2.5% change; Colorado wins
  2. Oklahoma State: 2.3% change; Colorado wins
  3. Oregon: 1.9% change; Colorado wins
  4. Northwestern: 1.7% change; Colorado wins
  5. Nebraska: 1.6% change; Colorado wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentUtah winsColorado winsSwingBetter outcome
UtahBig 1259.3%61.5%32.6%28.9%Utah wins
Oklahoma StateBig 124.3%4.0%6.6%2.6%Colorado wins
Texas TechBig 1276.2%76.2%78.7%2.5%Colorado wins
OregonBig Ten17.9%17.7%19.8%2.1%Colorado wins
USCBig Ten18.7%18.4%20.3%1.9%Colorado wins
NorthwesternBig Ten9.2%9.1%10.9%1.8%Colorado wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%18.4%20.1%1.7%Colorado wins
BaylorBig 126.4%6.1%7.6%1.5%Colorado wins
IowaBig Ten18.4%18.5%19.9%1.4%Colorado wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%78.6%80.0%1.4%Colorado wins
UCLABig Ten25.8%25.6%27.0%1.4%Colorado wins
LSUSEC18.1%18.0%19.2%1.2%Colorado wins
Wake ForestACC14.7%14.7%15.8%1.1%Colorado wins
BYUBig 1236.5%36.4%37.4%1.0%Colorado wins
KentuckySEC13.9%13.9%14.9%1.0%Colorado wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.5%88.4%0.9%Colorado wins
Ole MissSEC19.2%19.1%20.0%0.9%Colorado wins
TennesseeSEC14.7%14.7%15.6%0.9%Colorado wins
WisconsinBig Ten7.6%7.4%8.3%0.9%Colorado wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%42.2%42.9%0.7%Colorado wins