Kansas vs TCU CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Kansas at TCU. 2026-10-31 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #22. Line unavailable.
Kansas playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TCU playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Texas Tech: 2.8% outcome swing; TCU wins
- Arizona: 2.5% outcome swing; TCU wins
- BYU: 1.1% outcome swing; TCU wins
- Oklahoma State: 1.0% outcome swing; Kansas wins
- Georgia: 0.7% outcome swing; Kansas wins
Impacts if Kansas wins
- Arizona: -1.6% change; TCU wins
- Texas Tech: -1.6% change; TCU wins
- Oklahoma State: 0.9% change; Kansas wins
- Utah: 0.6% change; Kansas wins
- BYU: -0.5% change; TCU wins
Impacts if TCU wins
- Texas Tech: 1.2% change; TCU wins
- Arizona: 0.9% change; TCU wins
- BYU: 0.6% change; TCU wins
- Alabama: -0.5% change; Kansas wins
- Houston: -0.5% change; Kansas wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Kansas wins | TCU wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 49.3% | 52.1% | 2.8% | TCU wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 22.4% | 24.9% | 2.5% | TCU wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 61.6% | 62.7% | 1.1% | TCU wins |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.0% | Kansas wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.5% | 81.8% | 0.7% | Kansas wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.9% | 37.2% | 0.7% | Kansas wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.3% | 71.6% | 0.7% | Kansas wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 38.0% | 37.4% | 0.6% | Kansas wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.5% | 44.0% | 0.5% | Kansas wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.2% | 44.8% | 0.4% | Kansas wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 0.4% | Kansas wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | Kansas wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.7% | 37.4% | 0.3% | Kansas wins |
| SMU | ACC | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.3% | TCU wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 0.3% | Kansas wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.6% | 49.4% | 0.2% | Kansas wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.7% | 63.9% | 0.2% | TCU wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 0.2% | TCU wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 97.6% | 97.8% | 0.2% | TCU wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Kansas wins |