Kansas State vs Colorado CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Kansas State at Colorado. 2026-10-31 18:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #24. Line unavailable.
Kansas State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Colorado playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Arizona: 2.9% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
- Utah: 2.6% outcome swing; Colorado wins
- Texas Tech: 1.8% outcome swing; Colorado wins
- Northwestern: 1.0% outcome swing; Colorado wins
- Kentucky: 0.4% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
Impacts if Kansas State wins
- Arizona: 0.8% change; Kansas State wins
- Utah: -0.8% change; Colorado wins
- Texas Tech: -0.6% change; Colorado wins
- Northwestern: -0.4% change; Colorado wins
- Ohio State: 0.3% change; Kansas State wins
Impacts if Colorado wins
- Arizona: -2.1% change; Kansas State wins
- Utah: 1.8% change; Colorado wins
- Texas Tech: 1.2% change; Colorado wins
- Northwestern: 0.6% change; Colorado wins
- Alabama: -0.3% change; Kansas State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Kansas State wins | Colorado wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 2.9% | Kansas State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 70.9% | 73.5% | 2.6% | Colorado wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.3% | 52.1% | 1.8% | Colorado wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 1.0% | Colorado wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.9% | 37.5% | 0.4% | Kansas State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.6% | 37.2% | 0.4% | Kansas State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.9% | 63.6% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.3% | 62.0% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 92.3% | 92.6% | 92.3% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.7% | 62.9% | 62.6% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.6% | 44.3% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.5% | 37.7% | 0.2% | Colorado wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | Colorado wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Colorado wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 97.8% | 97.6% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% | Colorado wins |
| SMU | ACC | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |