UCF vs Kansas CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for UCF at Kansas. 2026-11-07 20:45 UTC. National Impact rank: #38. Line unavailable.

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UCF playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Kansas playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Houston: 1.3% outcome swing; UCF wins
  2. Missouri: 0.6% outcome swing; Kansas wins
  3. Utah: 0.5% outcome swing; Kansas wins
  4. Oklahoma State: 0.4% outcome swing; UCF wins
  5. Wake Forest: 0.4% outcome swing; UCF wins

Impacts if UCF wins

  1. Houston: 0.8% change; UCF wins
  2. Missouri: -0.6% change; Kansas wins
  3. Utah: -0.4% change; Kansas wins
  4. Wake Forest: 0.4% change; UCF wins
  5. Oklahoma State: 0.3% change; UCF wins

Impacts if Kansas wins

  1. Houston: -0.5% change; UCF wins
  2. Arizona: 0.2% change; Kansas wins
  3. Kentucky: 0.2% change; Kansas wins
  4. UCLA: -0.2% change; UCF wins
  5. Alabama: 0.1% change; Either outcome

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentUCF winsKansas winsSwingBetter outcome
HoustonBig 1237.1%37.9%36.6%1.3%UCF wins
MissouriSEC7.0%6.4%7.0%0.6%Kansas wins
UtahBig 1283.4%83.0%83.5%0.5%Kansas wins
Oklahoma StateBig 122.1%2.4%2.0%0.4%UCF wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%45.7%45.3%0.4%UCF wins
TexasSEC62.2%62.0%62.3%0.3%Kansas wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.4%12.6%0.2%Kansas wins
KentuckySEC26.3%26.3%26.5%0.2%Kansas wins
LSUSEC49.1%49.0%49.2%0.2%Kansas wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.5%45.3%0.2%UCF wins
BaylorBig 121.7%1.6%1.7%0.1%Kansas wins
Boise StatePac-1256.8%56.8%56.7%0.1%UCF wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.4%51.5%0.1%Kansas wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.5%4.6%0.1%Kansas wins
IowaBig Ten12.7%12.7%12.6%0.1%UCF wins
LibertyConference USA3.8%3.8%3.9%0.1%Kansas wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.8%69.7%0.1%UCF wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%50.3%50.4%0.1%Kansas wins
OregonBig Ten6.2%6.1%6.2%0.1%Kansas wins
Texas TechBig 1244.8%44.8%44.7%0.1%UCF wins