Oklahoma State vs Kansas State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Oklahoma State at Kansas State. 2026-11-07 17:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #23. Line unavailable.
Oklahoma State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 4.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
Kansas State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Arizona: 1.5% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
- Houston: 0.6% outcome swing; Oklahoma State wins
- Texas Tech: 0.6% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
- BYU: 0.5% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
- Tennessee: 0.4% outcome swing; Kansas State wins
Impacts if Oklahoma State wins
- Arizona: -0.4% change; Kansas State wins
- Houston: 0.3% change; Oklahoma State wins
- Wake Forest: 0.3% change; Oklahoma State wins
- Florida: -0.2% change; Kansas State wins
- Iowa: 0.2% change; Oklahoma State wins
Impacts if Kansas State wins
- Arizona: 1.1% change; Kansas State wins
- BYU: 0.5% change; Kansas State wins
- Texas Tech: 0.5% change; Kansas State wins
- Houston: -0.3% change; Oklahoma State wins
- Notre Dame: -0.3% change; Oklahoma State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Oklahoma State wins | Kansas State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 2.4% | Oklahoma State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 1.5% | Kansas State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.4% | 36.8% | 0.6% | Oklahoma State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 44.7% | 45.3% | 0.6% | Kansas State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.9% | 0.5% | Kansas State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.4% | Kansas State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.6% | 83.2% | 0.4% | Oklahoma State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 48.9% | 49.2% | 0.3% | Kansas State wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 0.3% | Oklahoma State wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.6% | 45.3% | 0.3% | Oklahoma State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.2% | 26.4% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.2% | 50.4% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.2% | 62.0% | 0.2% | Oklahoma State wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 0.2% | Kansas State wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.6% | 45.4% | 0.2% | Oklahoma State wins |
| Baylor | Big 12 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | Kansas State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 84.9% | 85.0% | 0.1% | Kansas State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.9% | 89.0% | 0.1% | Kansas State wins |