West Virginia vs Texas Tech CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for West Virginia at Texas Tech. 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #15. Line unavailable.

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West Virginia playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.1%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.1%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.2%0.0%

Texas Tech playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP44.8%46.9%12.1%
At-large20.6%21.8%2.2%
Automatic bid24.2%25.2%10.0%
Conference title game51.2%53.3%19.3%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. BYU: 3.0% outcome swing; West Virginia wins
  2. LSU: 2.5% outcome swing; West Virginia wins
  3. Tennessee: 2.5% outcome swing; West Virginia wins
  4. Ole Miss: 2.4% outcome swing; West Virginia wins
  5. Utah: 2.3% outcome swing; West Virginia wins

Impacts if West Virginia wins

  1. BYU: 2.7% change; West Virginia wins
  2. LSU: 2.5% change; West Virginia wins
  3. Ole Miss: 2.4% change; West Virginia wins
  4. Wake Forest: 2.4% change; West Virginia wins
  5. Tennessee: 2.3% change; West Virginia wins

Impacts if Texas Tech wins

  1. BYU: -0.3% change; West Virginia wins
  2. UCLA: -0.3% change; West Virginia wins
  3. Utah: -0.3% change; West Virginia wins
  4. Georgia: -0.2% change; West Virginia wins
  5. Kentucky: -0.2% change; West Virginia wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentWest Virginia winsTexas Tech winsSwingBetter outcome
Texas TechBig 1244.8%12.1%46.9%34.8%Texas Tech wins
BYUBig 1251.4%54.1%51.1%3.0%West Virginia wins
LSUSEC49.1%51.6%49.1%2.5%West Virginia wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%28.5%26.0%2.5%West Virginia wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%52.8%50.4%2.4%West Virginia wins
UtahBig 1283.4%85.4%83.1%2.3%West Virginia wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%47.7%45.4%2.3%West Virginia wins
AlabamaSEC76.5%78.5%76.4%2.1%West Virginia wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%71.6%69.8%1.8%West Virginia wins
HoustonBig 1237.1%38.6%37.0%1.6%West Virginia wins
Notre DameFBS Independents87.7%89.1%87.5%1.6%West Virginia wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%13.6%12.3%1.3%West Virginia wins
FloridaSEC4.5%5.7%4.5%1.2%West Virginia wins
TexasSEC62.2%63.4%62.2%1.2%West Virginia wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%46.4%45.2%1.2%West Virginia wins
KentuckySEC26.3%27.2%26.1%1.1%West Virginia wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%85.7%84.7%1.0%West Virginia wins
OregonBig Ten6.2%7.0%6.2%0.8%West Virginia wins
BaylorBig 121.7%2.3%1.6%0.7%West Virginia wins
IndianaBig Ten88.9%89.5%88.8%0.7%West Virginia wins