Louisville vs Syracuse CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Louisville at Syracuse . 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #33. Louisville -13.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 1.3% 1.5% 0.3% Automatic bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.3% Conference title game 6.7% 8.2% 0.7%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Wake Forest : 1.8% outcome swing; Louisville winsKentucky : 0.8% outcome swing; Louisville winsUCLA : 0.8% outcome swing; Syracuse winsUSC : 0.8% outcome swing; Syracuse winsBYU : 0.7% outcome swing; Syracuse wins
Impacts if Louisville wins Kentucky : 0.4% change; Louisville winsUCLA : -0.3% change; Syracuse winsMissouri : -0.2% change; Louisville winsOregon : -0.2% change; Syracuse winsArizona : 0.1% change; Either outcome
Impacts if Syracuse wins Wake Forest : -1.7% change; Louisville winsUSC : 0.7% change; Syracuse winsBYU : 0.6% change; Syracuse winsMiami : 0.6% change; Syracuse winsOle Miss : -0.6% change; Louisville wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Louisville wins Syracuse wins Swing Better outcome Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.8% 13.0% 1.8% Louisville wins Louisville ACC 1.3% 1.5% 0.3% 1.2% Louisville wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.3% 13.5% 0.8% Louisville wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.5% 26.3% 0.8% Syracuse wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.6% 19.4% 0.8% Syracuse wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.4% 37.1% 0.7% Syracuse wins Miami ACC 95.1% 95.0% 95.7% 0.7% Syracuse wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.1% 18.6% 0.5% Louisville wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 0.4% Syracuse wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.4% 87.7% 0.3% Syracuse wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.9% 10.2% 0.3% Syracuse wins North Carolina ACC 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 0.3% Louisville wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.7% 18.0% 0.3% Syracuse wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 14.8% 14.5% 0.3% Louisville wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.1% 76.4% 0.3% Syracuse wins Virginia Tech ACC 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% Syracuse wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.1% 76.9% 0.2% Louisville wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 69.5% 69.3% 0.2% Louisville wins Clemson ACC 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% Syracuse wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.5% 96.3% 0.2% Louisville wins