Wake Forest vs California CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Wake Forest at California . 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #22. Wake Forest -9.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 14.7% 15.6% 5.4% At-large 5.7% 6.4% 0.3% Automatic bid 9.0% 9.0% 4.9% Conference title game 46.6% 49.6% 23.5%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.5% 2.6% 0.0%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings UCLA : 2.9% outcome swing; California winsOhio State : 0.9% outcome swing; California winsUSC : 0.9% outcome swing; California winsLouisville : 0.8% outcome swing; California winsOregon : 0.7% outcome swing; California winsImpacts if Wake Forest wins Houston : -0.3% change; Either outcomeUCLA : -0.3% change; California winsBoise State : -0.2% change; Wake Forest winsClemson : 0.2% change; California winsOhio State : -0.2% change; California winsImpacts if California wins UCLA : 2.6% change; California winsUSC : 0.9% change; California winsLouisville : 0.7% change; California winsOhio State : 0.7% change; California winsOregon : 0.7% change; California winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Wake Forest wins California wins Swing Better outcome Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 15.6% 5.4% 10.2% Wake Forest wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.5% 28.4% 2.9% California wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.5% 79.4% 0.9% California wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.7% 19.6% 0.9% California wins Louisville ACC 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 0.8% California wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.9% 18.6% 0.7% California wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 5.6% 6.2% 0.6% California wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.5% 37.1% 0.6% California wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.5% 88.1% 0.6% California wins Miami ACC 95.1% 95.1% 94.5% 0.6% Wake Forest wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.2% 59.8% 0.6% California wins LSU SEC 18.1% 18.1% 18.6% 0.5% California wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.4% 6.8% 0.4% California wins Clemson ACC 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 0.4% California wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 0.4% California wins Pittsburgh ACC 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 0.4% California wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.2% 75.8% 0.4% Wake Forest wins Mississippi State SEC 5.8% 5.8% 5.5% 0.3% Wake Forest wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.5% 16.2% 0.3% Wake Forest wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 0.3% California wins