Boston College vs Duke CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Boston College at Duke. 2026-10-31 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #38. Line unavailable.
Boston College playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Duke playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 1.9% outcome swing; Duke wins
- Houston: 0.9% outcome swing; Boston College wins
- Notre Dame: 0.9% outcome swing; Boston College wins
- BYU: 0.7% outcome swing; Boston College wins
- UCLA: 0.7% outcome swing; Duke wins
Impacts if Boston College wins
- Wake Forest: -1.5% change; Duke wins
- Houston: 0.7% change; Boston College wins
- Notre Dame: 0.5% change; Boston College wins
- Utah: 0.5% change; Boston College wins
- Alabama: 0.4% change; Boston College wins
Impacts if Duke wins
- Notre Dame: -0.4% change; Boston College wins
- Wake Forest: 0.4% change; Duke wins
- BYU: -0.3% change; Boston College wins
- UCLA: 0.3% change; Duke wins
- Houston: -0.2% change; Boston College wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Boston College wins | Duke wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 1.9% | Duke wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.4% | 37.5% | 0.9% | Boston College wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.8% | 94.9% | 0.9% | Boston College wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.5% | 61.8% | 0.7% | Boston College wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 43.9% | 44.6% | 0.7% | Duke wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.2% | 71.5% | 0.7% | Boston College wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.3% | 49.8% | 0.5% | Boston College wins |
| SMU | ACC | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 0.5% | Boston College wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 0.5% | Duke wins |
| Duke | ACC | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Duke wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.2% | 50.8% | 0.4% | Boston College wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.8% | 82.1% | 0.3% | Duke wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.3% | 37.6% | 0.3% | Duke wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | Duke wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 0.2% | Boston College wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Duke wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Boston College wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Duke wins |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 0.2% | Duke wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 24.0% | 0.1% | Boston College wins |