Stanford vs Louisville CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Stanford at Louisville. 2026-10-31 19:15 UTC. National Impact rank: #48. Line unavailable.
Stanford playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Louisville playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Automatic bid | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Conference title game | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Ole Miss: 1.7% outcome swing; Louisville wins
- SMU: 1.4% outcome swing; Stanford wins
- Kentucky: 1.2% outcome swing; Louisville wins
- Notre Dame: 0.8% outcome swing; Stanford wins
- BYU: 0.7% outcome swing; Stanford wins
Impacts if Stanford wins
- Ole Miss: -1.7% change; Louisville wins
- SMU: 1.4% change; Stanford wins
- Kentucky: -1.2% change; Louisville wins
- Notre Dame: 0.8% change; Stanford wins
- BYU: 0.7% change; Stanford wins
Impacts if Louisville wins
- Boise State: 0.1% change; Louisville wins
- Utah: -0.1% change; Stanford wins
- Air Force: 0.0% change; Either outcome
- Akron: 0.0% change; Either outcome
- Alabama: 0.0% change; Either outcome
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Stanford wins | Louisville wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | ACC | 2.6% | 0.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | Louisville wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 35.8% | 37.5% | 1.7% | Louisville wins |
| SMU | ACC | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | Stanford wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 36.6% | 37.8% | 1.2% | Louisville wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 96.1% | 95.3% | 0.8% | Stanford wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.8% | 62.1% | 0.7% | Stanford wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 44.9% | 44.3% | 0.6% | Stanford wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 0.5% | Louisville wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.5% | 82.0% | 0.5% | Louisville wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.2% | 37.7% | 0.5% | Stanford wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% | Louisville wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.4% | 50.9% | 0.5% | Stanford wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.1% | 71.6% | 0.5% | Stanford wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.4% | 24.0% | 0.4% | Stanford wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% | Stanford wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 0.4% | Stanford wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 0.4% | Stanford wins |
| Miami | ACC | 97.8% | 98.1% | 97.8% | 0.3% | Stanford wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.1% | 91.9% | 0.2% | Stanford wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Louisville wins |