Clemson vs Syracuse CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 10 pregame analysis for Clemson at Syracuse. 2026-11-07 17:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #19. Line unavailable.

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Clemson playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.1%0.2%0.0%
Automatic bid0.1%0.2%0.0%
Conference title game2.8%4.1%0.1%

Syracuse playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. LSU: 2.0% outcome swing; Clemson wins
  2. Wake Forest: 2.0% outcome swing; Syracuse wins
  3. Notre Dame: 1.6% outcome swing; Syracuse wins
  4. Alabama: 0.7% outcome swing; Clemson wins
  5. Ole Miss: 0.6% outcome swing; Clemson wins

Impacts if Clemson wins

  1. LSU: 0.9% change; Clemson wins
  2. Wake Forest: -0.7% change; Syracuse wins
  3. Notre Dame: -0.5% change; Syracuse wins
  4. Alabama: 0.3% change; Clemson wins
  5. Texas: 0.3% change; Clemson wins

Impacts if Syracuse wins

  1. Wake Forest: 1.3% change; Syracuse wins
  2. LSU: -1.1% change; Clemson wins
  3. Notre Dame: 1.1% change; Syracuse wins
  4. Ole Miss: -0.6% change; Clemson wins
  5. South Carolina: -0.5% change; Clemson wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentClemson winsSyracuse winsSwingBetter outcome
LSUSEC49.1%50.0%48.0%2.0%Clemson wins
Wake ForestACC45.3%44.6%46.6%2.0%Syracuse wins
Notre DameFBS Independents87.7%87.2%88.8%1.6%Syracuse wins
AlabamaSEC76.5%76.8%76.1%0.7%Clemson wins
Ole MissSEC50.4%50.4%49.8%0.6%Clemson wins
South CarolinaSEC7.5%7.6%7.0%0.6%Clemson wins
TennesseeSEC26.2%26.4%25.8%0.6%Clemson wins
TexasSEC62.2%62.5%61.9%0.6%Clemson wins
BYUBig 1251.4%51.2%51.7%0.5%Syracuse wins
ArizonaBig 1212.4%12.3%12.6%0.3%Syracuse wins
ClemsonACC0.1%0.2%0.0%0.2%Clemson wins
GeorgiaSEC84.9%85.1%84.9%0.2%Clemson wins
IndianaBig Ten88.9%88.8%89.0%0.2%Syracuse wins
LouisvilleACC1.8%1.8%2.0%0.2%Syracuse wins
MiamiACC98.7%98.8%98.6%0.2%Clemson wins
MissouriSEC7.0%6.9%7.1%0.2%Syracuse wins
Ohio StateBig Ten69.8%69.8%70.0%0.2%Syracuse wins
SMUACC2.0%1.9%2.1%0.2%Syracuse wins
UCLABig Ten45.5%45.2%45.4%0.2%Syracuse wins
FloridaSEC4.5%4.5%4.4%0.1%Clemson wins