Louisville vs Georgia Tech CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Louisville at Georgia Tech. 2026-11-08 00:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #30. Line unavailable.
Louisville playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Automatic bid | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Conference title game | 7.6% | 8.7% | 0.4% |
Georgia Tech playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 3.2% outcome swing; Louisville wins
- Ole Miss: 2.0% outcome swing; Louisville wins
- Tennessee: 1.4% outcome swing; Georgia Tech wins
- SMU: 0.9% outcome swing; Georgia Tech wins
- LSU: 0.7% outcome swing; Georgia Tech wins
Impacts if Louisville wins
- Wake Forest: 0.3% change; Louisville wins
- Ole Miss: 0.2% change; Louisville wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; Louisville wins
- Arizona: -0.1% change; Georgia Tech wins
- BYU: -0.1% change; Georgia Tech wins
Impacts if Georgia Tech wins
- Wake Forest: -2.9% change; Louisville wins
- Ole Miss: -1.8% change; Louisville wins
- Tennessee: 1.3% change; Georgia Tech wins
- SMU: 0.8% change; Georgia Tech wins
- LSU: 0.7% change; Georgia Tech wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Louisville wins | Georgia Tech wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.6% | 42.4% | 3.2% | Louisville wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.6% | 48.6% | 2.0% | Louisville wins |
| Louisville | ACC | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 1.7% | Louisville wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.1% | 27.5% | 1.4% | Georgia Tech wins |
| SMU | ACC | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | Georgia Tech wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.1% | 49.8% | 0.7% | Georgia Tech wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.3% | 51.9% | 0.6% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.7% | 87.1% | 0.6% | Louisville wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 69.7% | 70.2% | 0.5% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 0.4% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 44.9% | 45.3% | 0.4% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Clemson | ACC | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 84.9% | 85.2% | 0.3% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.8% | 89.1% | 0.3% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 0.3% | Georgia Tech wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 0.3% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.6% | 76.4% | 0.2% | Louisville wins |
| Duke | ACC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 37.3% | 0.2% | Georgia Tech wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 26.3% | 26.3% | 26.1% | 0.2% | Louisville wins |