Stanford vs Virginia Tech CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for Stanford at Virginia Tech. 2026-11-14 05:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #62. Line unavailable.

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Stanford playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Virginia Tech playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Wake Forest: 1.1% outcome swing; Stanford wins
  2. Boise State: 0.3% outcome swing; Virginia Tech wins
  3. New Mexico: 0.3% outcome swing; Stanford wins
  4. Arizona: 0.2% outcome swing; Virginia Tech wins
  5. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Virginia Tech wins

Impacts if Stanford wins

  1. Wake Forest: 1.0% change; Stanford wins
  2. Arizona: -0.2% change; Virginia Tech wins
  3. Boise State: -0.2% change; Virginia Tech wins
  4. Iowa: -0.2% change; Virginia Tech wins
  5. Miami: 0.2% change; Stanford wins

Impacts if Virginia Tech wins

  1. Boise State: 0.1% change; Virginia Tech wins
  2. Houston: 0.1% change; Virginia Tech wins
  3. New Mexico: -0.1% change; Stanford wins
  4. Texas: 0.1% change; Virginia Tech wins
  5. Wake Forest: -0.1% change; Stanford wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentStanford winsVirginia Tech winsSwingBetter outcome
Wake ForestACC45.8%46.8%45.7%1.1%Stanford wins
Boise StatePac-1266.4%66.2%66.5%0.3%Virginia Tech wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%28.1%27.8%0.3%Stanford wins
ArizonaBig 1217.3%17.1%17.3%0.2%Virginia Tech wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.5%24.7%0.2%Virginia Tech wins
MiamiACC98.4%98.6%98.4%0.2%Stanford wins
Ohio StateBig Ten21.3%21.1%21.3%0.2%Virginia Tech wins
TexasSEC73.4%73.3%73.5%0.2%Virginia Tech wins
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.7%96.6%0.1%Stanford wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.4%42.3%0.1%Stanford wins
HoustonBig 1245.3%45.3%45.4%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
IndianaBig Ten82.0%81.9%82.0%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.1%3.2%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
LSUSEC18.7%18.6%18.7%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
Ole MissSEC11.5%11.6%11.5%0.1%Stanford wins
OregonBig Ten28.3%28.2%28.3%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
South CarolinaSEC10.6%10.5%10.6%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
TennesseeSEC53.9%53.8%53.9%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
Texas TechBig 1234.9%34.8%34.9%0.1%Virginia Tech wins
UCLABig Ten65.3%65.2%65.3%0.1%Virginia Tech wins