Syracuse vs NC State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Syracuse at NC State. 2026-11-14 17:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #45. Line unavailable.
Syracuse playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NC State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Wake Forest: 0.8% outcome swing; NC State wins
- BYU: 0.5% outcome swing; Syracuse wins
- Tennessee: 0.3% outcome swing; NC State wins
- Texas: 0.3% outcome swing; NC State wins
- Houston: 0.2% outcome swing; Syracuse wins
Impacts if Syracuse wins
- Wake Forest: -0.4% change; NC State wins
- BYU: 0.2% change; Syracuse wins
- Houston: 0.2% change; Syracuse wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; NC State wins
- LSU: 0.1% change; Syracuse wins
Impacts if NC State wins
- Wake Forest: 0.4% change; NC State wins
- BYU: -0.3% change; Syracuse wins
- Texas: 0.2% change; NC State wins
- Alabama: 0.1% change; NC State wins
- Arizona: -0.1% change; Syracuse wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Syracuse wins | NC State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.4% | 46.2% | 0.8% | NC State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.5% | 42.0% | 0.5% | Syracuse wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.7% | 54.0% | 0.3% | NC State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.3% | 73.6% | 0.3% | NC State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.5% | 45.3% | 0.2% | Syracuse wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 0.2% | Syracuse wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 65.4% | 65.2% | 0.2% | Syracuse wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.7% | 0.1% | NC State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 66.3% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 82.0% | 81.9% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 24.7% | 24.6% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 0.1% | NC State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 27.9% | 27.9% | 27.8% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 0.1% | NC State wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 28.4% | 28.3% | 0.1% | Syracuse wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 0.1% | NC State wins |
| Air Force | Mountain West | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| Akron | Mid-American | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |
| App State | Sun Belt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Either outcome |