Ohio State vs Indiana CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Ohio State at Indiana . 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #3. Ohio State -3.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 78.7% 92.0% 66.1% At-large 31.7% 30.6% 32.9% Automatic bid 47.0% 58.9% 30.7% Conference title game 66.3% 83.2% 47.5%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 87.5% 97.2% 78.9% At-large 46.6% 42.1% 50.9% Automatic bid 40.9% 55.1% 28.0% Conference title game 72.5% 92.9% 54.5%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Iowa : 2.2% outcome swing; Ohio State winsWisconsin : 1.6% outcome swing; Indiana winsUtah : 1.2% outcome swing; Indiana winsHouston : 1.0% outcome swing; Indiana winsMissouri : 1.0% outcome swing; Indiana winsImpacts if Ohio State wins Iowa : 1.2% change; Ohio State winsTexas Tech : -1.0% change; Indiana winsOregon : 0.8% change; Ohio State winsHouston : -0.7% change; Indiana winsWisconsin : -0.7% change; Indiana winsImpacts if Indiana wins Iowa : -1.0% change; Ohio State winsWisconsin : 0.9% change; Indiana winsUtah : 0.7% change; Indiana winsUCLA : 0.5% change; Indiana winsMissouri : 0.4% change; Indiana winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Ohio State wins Indiana wins Swing Better outcome Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 92.0% 66.1% 25.9% Ohio State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 78.9% 97.2% 18.3% Indiana wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 19.6% 17.4% 2.2% Ohio State wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 6.9% 8.5% 1.6% Indiana wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 58.8% 60.0% 1.2% Indiana wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.3% 42.3% 1.0% Indiana wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 15.8% 16.8% 1.0% Indiana wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 75.2% 76.2% 1.0% Indiana wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.0% 36.8% 0.8% Indiana wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 18.6% 19.4% 0.8% Indiana wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 18.7% 18.0% 0.7% Ohio State wins Texas SEC 83.7% 84.2% 83.5% 0.7% Ohio State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 76.6% 77.1% 0.5% Indiana wins North Texas American Athletic 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 0.5% Indiana wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 25.8% 26.3% 0.5% Indiana wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.2% 14.6% 0.4% Indiana wins Georgia SEC 96.4% 96.1% 96.4% 0.3% Indiana wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.0% 9.7% 0.3% Ohio State wins Miami ACC 95.1% 94.9% 95.2% 0.3% Indiana wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 8.8% 9.1% 0.3% Indiana wins