Rutgers vs Maryland CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Rutgers at Maryland. 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #27. Maryland -4.5.

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Rutgers playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Maryland playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. UCLA: 2.6% outcome swing; Maryland wins
  2. Indiana: 1.9% outcome swing; Rutgers wins
  3. Northwestern: 1.5% outcome swing; Rutgers wins
  4. Houston: 0.4% outcome swing; Rutgers wins
  5. James Madison: 0.3% outcome swing; Maryland wins

Impacts if Rutgers wins

  1. Indiana: 1.5% change; Rutgers wins
  2. UCLA: -1.5% change; Maryland wins
  3. Northwestern: 1.0% change; Rutgers wins
  4. LSU: -0.4% change; Maryland wins
  5. Wake Forest: -0.3% change; Maryland wins

Impacts if Maryland wins

  1. UCLA: 1.1% change; Maryland wins
  2. Northwestern: -0.5% change; Rutgers wins
  3. Indiana: -0.4% change; Rutgers wins
  4. Houston: -0.3% change; Rutgers wins
  5. James Madison: 0.2% change; Maryland wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentRutgers winsMaryland winsSwingBetter outcome
UCLABig Ten25.8%24.3%26.9%2.6%Maryland wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%89.0%87.1%1.9%Rutgers wins
NorthwesternBig Ten9.2%10.2%8.7%1.5%Rutgers wins
HoustonBig 1242.0%42.1%41.7%0.4%Rutgers wins
James MadisonSun Belt9.9%9.8%10.1%0.3%Maryland wins
KentuckySEC13.9%13.8%14.1%0.3%Maryland wins
LSUSEC18.1%17.7%18.0%0.3%Maryland wins
TennesseeSEC14.7%14.6%14.9%0.3%Maryland wins
Boise StatePac-1269.5%69.6%69.4%0.2%Rutgers wins
MissouriSEC16.4%16.4%16.2%0.2%Rutgers wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%78.6%78.8%0.2%Maryland wins
Wake ForestACC14.7%14.4%14.6%0.2%Maryland wins
WisconsinBig Ten7.6%7.4%7.6%0.2%Maryland wins
BaylorBig 126.4%6.3%6.4%0.1%Maryland wins
BYUBig 1236.5%36.7%36.6%0.1%Rutgers wins
CincinnatiBig 121.0%1.0%0.9%0.1%Rutgers wins
IllinoisBig Ten0.1%0.0%0.1%0.1%Maryland wins
IowaBig Ten18.4%18.4%18.5%0.1%Maryland wins
Mississippi StateSEC5.8%5.8%5.7%0.1%Rutgers wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%18.7%18.6%0.1%Rutgers wins