Nebraska vs Oregon CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Nebraska at Oregon . 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #1. Oregon -7.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 18.5% 30.3% 7.7% At-large 16.8% 30.2% 10.2% Automatic bid 1.7% 3.0% 0.4% Conference title game 4.2% 8.7% 1.3%
Oregon playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 17.9% 24.3% 4.6% At-large 14.4% 19.4% 4.3% Automatic bid 3.5% 5.0% 0.4% Conference title game 9.3% 13.2% 0.9%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings UCLA : 5.4% outcome swing; Oregon winsBoise State : 4.8% outcome swing; Oregon winsIndiana : 3.3% outcome swing; Nebraska winsIowa : 2.2% outcome swing; Nebraska winsNorthwestern : 1.4% outcome swing; Oregon winsImpacts if Nebraska wins UCLA : -3.3% change; Oregon winsBoise State : -3.1% change; Oregon winsIndiana : 2.2% change; Nebraska winsIowa : 1.7% change; Nebraska winsOhio State : 1.4% change; Nebraska winsImpacts if Oregon wins UCLA : 2.1% change; Oregon winsBoise State : 1.7% change; Oregon winsIndiana : -1.1% change; Nebraska winsNorthwestern : 0.8% change; Oregon winsBYU : 0.7% change; Oregon winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Nebraska wins Oregon wins Swing Better outcome Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 30.3% 7.7% 22.6% Nebraska wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 4.6% 24.3% 19.7% Oregon wins UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 22.5% 27.9% 5.4% Oregon wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 66.4% 71.2% 4.8% Oregon wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 89.7% 86.4% 3.3% Nebraska wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 20.1% 17.9% 2.2% Nebraska wins Northwestern Big Ten 9.2% 8.6% 10.0% 1.4% Oregon wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 80.1% 78.7% 1.4% Nebraska wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.6% 9.4% 1.2% Nebraska wins Memphis American Athletic 3.9% 4.8% 3.6% 1.2% Nebraska wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.3% 19.4% 1.1% Oregon wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 15.4% 14.5% 0.9% Nebraska wins New Mexico Mountain West 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 0.7% Nebraska wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 0.7% Oregon wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.6% 37.2% 0.6% Oregon wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.0% 16.6% 0.6% Oregon wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.0% 4.6% 0.6% Oregon wins UTSA American Athletic 6.8% 7.2% 6.6% 0.6% Nebraska wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.7% 77.2% 0.5% Nebraska wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 41.5% 42.0% 0.5% Oregon wins