Washington vs Purdue CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 7 pregame analysis for Washington at Purdue. 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #14. Purdue -3.

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Washington playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Purdue playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.1%0.1%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. UCLA: 2.3% outcome swing; Purdue wins
  2. Wake Forest: 2.2% outcome swing; Purdue wins
  3. Nebraska: 1.8% outcome swing; Washington wins
  4. Oregon: 1.6% outcome swing; Washington wins
  5. Wisconsin: 1.4% outcome swing; Purdue wins

Impacts if Washington wins

  1. UCLA: -1.2% change; Purdue wins
  2. Wake Forest: -1.2% change; Purdue wins
  3. Nebraska: 1.0% change; Washington wins
  4. Oregon: 0.9% change; Washington wins
  5. Ohio State: 0.6% change; Washington wins

Impacts if Purdue wins

  1. UCLA: 1.1% change; Purdue wins
  2. Wake Forest: 1.0% change; Purdue wins
  3. Boise State: -0.8% change; Washington wins
  4. Nebraska: -0.8% change; Washington wins
  5. Wisconsin: 0.8% change; Purdue wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentWashington winsPurdue winsSwingBetter outcome
UCLABig Ten25.8%24.6%26.9%2.3%Purdue wins
Wake ForestACC14.7%13.5%15.7%2.2%Purdue wins
NebraskaBig Ten18.5%19.5%17.7%1.8%Washington wins
OregonBig Ten17.9%18.8%17.2%1.6%Washington wins
WisconsinBig Ten7.6%7.0%8.4%1.4%Purdue wins
Boise StatePac-1269.5%70.0%68.7%1.3%Washington wins
USCBig Ten18.7%19.3%18.4%0.9%Washington wins
Ohio StateBig Ten78.7%79.3%78.5%0.8%Washington wins
IndianaBig Ten87.5%87.9%87.4%0.5%Washington wins
Notre DameFBS Independents98.4%98.0%98.5%0.5%Purdue wins
UtahBig 1259.3%59.6%59.1%0.5%Washington wins
AlabamaSEC77.1%76.7%77.1%0.4%Purdue wins
LSUSEC18.1%18.3%17.9%0.4%Washington wins
NorthwesternBig Ten9.2%9.5%9.1%0.4%Washington wins
ArizonaBig 125.7%6.0%5.7%0.3%Washington wins
James MadisonSun Belt9.9%9.8%10.1%0.3%Purdue wins
MiamiACC95.1%94.9%95.2%0.3%Purdue wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic6.8%6.7%7.0%0.3%Purdue wins
CincinnatiBig 121.0%0.8%1.0%0.2%Purdue wins
GeorgiaSEC96.4%96.3%96.5%0.2%Purdue wins