Wisconsin vs UCLA CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Wisconsin at UCLA . 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #5. UCLA -3.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 7.6% 12.7% 1.8% At-large 6.4% 11.9% 2.7% Automatic bid 1.2% 2.0% 0.3% Conference title game 15.4% 26.2% 4.8%
UCLA playoff pathsPath Current With win With loss CFP 25.8% 34.4% 11.6% At-large 22.8% 30.8% 11.0% Automatic bid 3.0% 4.0% 1.0% Conference title game 19.5% 29.8% 6.4%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings Iowa : 3.2% outcome swing; Wisconsin winsKentucky : 1.2% outcome swing; Wisconsin winsMissouri : 1.1% outcome swing; Wisconsin winsOregon : 1.1% outcome swing; UCLA winsTexas Tech : 1.1% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
Impacts if Wisconsin wins Iowa : 2.4% change; Wisconsin winsBoise State : -0.8% change; UCLA winsNebraska : 0.7% change; Wisconsin winsTexas Tech : 0.7% change; Wisconsin winsAlabama : 0.6% change; Wisconsin wins
Impacts if UCLA wins Iowa : -0.8% change; Wisconsin winsHouston : -0.7% change; Wisconsin winsKentucky : -0.7% change; Wisconsin winsMissouri : -0.6% change; Wisconsin winsOregon : 0.6% change; UCLA wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Wisconsin wins UCLA wins Swing Better outcome UCLA Big Ten 25.8% 11.6% 34.4% 22.8% UCLA wins Wisconsin Big Ten 7.6% 12.7% 1.8% 10.9% Wisconsin wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 20.8% 17.6% 3.2% Wisconsin wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 14.4% 13.2% 1.2% Wisconsin wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.9% 15.8% 1.1% Wisconsin wins Oregon Big Ten 17.9% 17.4% 18.5% 1.1% UCLA wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.9% 75.8% 1.1% Wisconsin wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.3% 41.3% 1.0% Wisconsin wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 15.1% 14.1% 1.0% Wisconsin wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 68.7% 69.6% 0.9% UCLA wins Notre Dame FBS Independents 98.4% 98.9% 98.0% 0.9% Wisconsin wins Nebraska Big Ten 18.5% 19.2% 18.4% 0.8% Wisconsin wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.9% 59.2% 0.7% Wisconsin wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 77.7% 77.2% 0.5% Wisconsin wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 79.1% 78.6% 0.5% Wisconsin wins USC Big Ten 18.7% 18.8% 19.3% 0.5% UCLA wins Baylor Big 12 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 0.4% Wisconsin wins BYU Big 12 36.5% 36.9% 36.5% 0.4% Wisconsin wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 10.2% 9.8% 0.4% Wisconsin wins Wake Forest ACC 14.7% 14.9% 14.5% 0.4% Wisconsin wins