Washington vs Nebraska CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Washington at Nebraska. 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #28. Nebraska -9.5.
Washington playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nebraska playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 5.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| At-large | 5.4% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Automatic bid | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- USC: 1.3% outcome swing; Washington wins
- Alabama: 1.1% outcome swing; Washington wins
- Boise State: 1.1% outcome swing; Washington wins
- Indiana: 0.9% outcome swing; Nebraska wins
- LSU: 0.8% outcome swing; Washington wins
Impacts if Washington wins
- USC: 1.3% change; Washington wins
- Alabama: 1.0% change; Washington wins
- Boise State: 1.0% change; Washington wins
- LSU: 0.9% change; Washington wins
- Indiana: -0.8% change; Nebraska wins
Impacts if Nebraska wins
- BYU: -0.3% change; Washington wins
- Alabama: -0.1% change; Washington wins
- Arizona: -0.1% change; Washington wins
- Boise State: -0.1% change; Washington wins
- Houston: 0.1% change; Washington wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Washington wins | Nebraska wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 5.6% | 0.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | Nebraska wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.3% | Washington wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.9% | 49.8% | 1.1% | Washington wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 64.8% | 63.7% | 1.1% | Washington wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 91.1% | 92.0% | 0.9% | Nebraska wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.8% | 45.0% | 0.8% | Washington wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.7% | 50.9% | 0.8% | Washington wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 0.7% | Washington wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 72.4% | 71.7% | 0.7% | Washington wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 0.6% | Washington wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.3% | 37.8% | 0.5% | Washington wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 0.5% | Nebraska wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | Washington wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | Nebraska wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 0.4% | Nebraska wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.1% | 61.8% | 0.3% | Washington wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | Nebraska wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.5% | 37.7% | 0.2% | Nebraska wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Nebraska wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.5% | 95.3% | 0.2% | Washington wins |