Purdue vs Penn State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Purdue at Penn State. 2026-10-31 20:15 UTC. National Impact rank: #34. Line unavailable.
Purdue playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Penn State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- UCLA: 3.2% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Wake Forest: 1.6% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Northwestern: 0.9% outcome swing; Penn State wins
- Alabama: 0.8% outcome swing; Penn State wins
- LSU: 0.7% outcome swing; Penn State wins
Impacts if Purdue wins
- UCLA: 2.9% change; Purdue wins
- Wake Forest: 1.5% change; Purdue wins
- Northwestern: -0.8% change; Penn State wins
- Alabama: -0.7% change; Penn State wins
- LSU: -0.6% change; Penn State wins
Impacts if Penn State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Purdue wins | Penn State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 47.2% | 44.0% | 3.2% | Purdue wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 1.6% | Purdue wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 0.9% | Penn State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 0.8% | Penn State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 44.3% | 45.0% | 0.7% | Penn State wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 0.7% | Penn State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.3% | 37.9% | 0.6% | Penn State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 92.4% | 91.9% | 0.5% | Purdue wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 37.5% | 37.0% | 37.5% | 0.5% | Penn State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.3% | 37.7% | 0.4% | Penn State wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 95.3% | 95.7% | 95.3% | 0.4% | Purdue wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.4% | 71.8% | 0.4% | Penn State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.3% | 62.0% | 0.3% | Purdue wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.3% | Penn State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Purdue wins |
| Oklahoma | SEC | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |