Maryland vs Purdue CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Maryland at Purdue. 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #33. Line unavailable.
Maryland playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Purdue playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Ohio State: 1.4% outcome swing; Maryland wins
- Indiana: 0.9% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Notre Dame: 0.8% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Wake Forest: 0.8% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- USC: 0.6% outcome swing; Maryland wins
Impacts if Maryland wins
- Ohio State: 1.3% change; Maryland wins
- Indiana: -0.6% change; Purdue wins
- Notre Dame: -0.6% change; Purdue wins
- Wake Forest: -0.5% change; Purdue wins
- LSU: 0.3% change; Maryland wins
Impacts if Purdue wins
- Indiana: 0.3% change; Purdue wins
- USC: -0.3% change; Maryland wins
- Wake Forest: 0.3% change; Purdue wins
- BYU: 0.2% change; Purdue wins
- LSU: -0.2% change; Maryland wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Maryland wins | Purdue wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 71.1% | 69.7% | 1.4% | Maryland wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.3% | 89.2% | 0.9% | Purdue wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.1% | 87.9% | 0.8% | Purdue wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 44.8% | 45.6% | 0.8% | Purdue wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 0.6% | Maryland wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 0.5% | Maryland wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.5% | 62.1% | 0.4% | Maryland wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 45.7% | 45.3% | 0.4% | Maryland wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.3% | 51.6% | 0.3% | Purdue wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 0.3% | Purdue wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 0.3% | Purdue wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 26.2% | 26.4% | 26.1% | 0.3% | Maryland wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.2% | Purdue wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 85.1% | 84.9% | 0.2% | Maryland wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.2% | 50.4% | 0.2% | Purdue wins |
| South Carolina | SEC | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 0.2% | Maryland wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.5% | 76.6% | 0.1% | Purdue wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.1% | Purdue wins |
| Minnesota | Big Ten | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Purdue wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |