Penn State vs Washington CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Penn State at Washington. 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #29. Line unavailable.
Penn State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Washington playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Indiana: 0.8% outcome swing; Washington wins
- Iowa: 0.8% outcome swing; Washington wins
- Alabama: 0.6% outcome swing; Penn State wins
- BYU: 0.6% outcome swing; Washington wins
- New Mexico: 0.6% outcome swing; Penn State wins
Impacts if Penn State wins
- Indiana: -0.4% change; Washington wins
- Ohio State: 0.4% change; Penn State wins
- BYU: -0.3% change; Washington wins
- Texas: 0.3% change; Penn State wins
- Arizona: -0.2% change; Washington wins
Impacts if Washington wins
- Iowa: 0.7% change; Washington wins
- New Mexico: -0.6% change; Penn State wins
- Alabama: -0.5% change; Penn State wins
- Boise State: 0.4% change; Washington wins
- Indiana: 0.4% change; Washington wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Penn State wins | Washington wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 88.5% | 89.3% | 0.8% | Washington wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 0.8% | Washington wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 76.6% | 76.0% | 0.6% | Penn State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 51.4% | 51.1% | 51.7% | 0.6% | Washington wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 0.6% | Penn State wins |
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 87.9% | 87.3% | 0.6% | Penn State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.7% | 57.2% | 0.5% | Washington wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 0.4% | Washington wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 0.3% | Washington wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.2% | 48.9% | 0.3% | Penn State wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.5% | 62.2% | 0.3% | Penn State wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.3% | 45.0% | 0.3% | Penn State wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 70.2% | 70.0% | 0.2% | Penn State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 0.1% | Penn State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 84.9% | 85.0% | 84.9% | 0.1% | Penn State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.0% | 37.1% | 0.1% | Washington wins |
| Memphis | American Athletic | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | Penn State wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Penn State wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 50.4% | 50.3% | 0.1% | Penn State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 44.8% | 44.9% | 0.1% | Washington wins |