Rutgers vs Wisconsin CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 10 pregame analysis for Rutgers at Wisconsin. 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #24. Line unavailable.
Rutgers playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wisconsin playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 5.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Notre Dame: 3.1% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
- UCLA: 2.9% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
- Ohio State: 1.8% outcome swing; Rutgers wins
- Indiana: 1.3% outcome swing; Rutgers wins
- Iowa: 1.3% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
Impacts if Rutgers wins
- Notre Dame: -2.9% change; Wisconsin wins
- UCLA: -2.8% change; Wisconsin wins
- Ohio State: 1.8% change; Rutgers wins
- Indiana: 1.0% change; Rutgers wins
- Iowa: -1.0% change; Wisconsin wins
Impacts if Wisconsin wins
- Indiana: -0.3% change; Rutgers wins
- Iowa: 0.3% change; Wisconsin wins
- Miami: -0.2% change; Rutgers wins
- Notre Dame: 0.2% change; Wisconsin wins
- Tennessee: -0.2% change; Rutgers wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Rutgers wins | Wisconsin wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 87.7% | 84.8% | 87.9% | 3.1% | Wisconsin wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 45.5% | 42.7% | 45.6% | 2.9% | Wisconsin wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 69.8% | 71.6% | 69.8% | 1.8% | Rutgers wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 88.9% | 89.9% | 88.6% | 1.3% | Rutgers wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 1.3% | Wisconsin wins |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1.2% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | Wisconsin wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 76.5% | 77.3% | 76.4% | 0.9% | Rutgers wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 50.4% | 51.0% | 50.3% | 0.7% | Rutgers wins |
| Texas | SEC | 62.2% | 62.8% | 62.1% | 0.7% | Rutgers wins |
| LSU | SEC | 49.1% | 49.6% | 49.1% | 0.5% | Rutgers wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 0.4% | Rutgers wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 44.8% | 45.2% | 44.8% | 0.4% | Rutgers wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.3% | 45.8% | 45.4% | 0.4% | Rutgers wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.1% | 37.4% | 37.1% | 0.3% | Rutgers wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 0.2% | Rutgers wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.7% | 98.7% | 98.5% | 0.2% | Rutgers wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 0.2% | Rutgers wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 0.2% | Wisconsin wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 83.4% | 83.6% | 83.4% | 0.2% | Rutgers wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 56.8% | 56.9% | 56.8% | 0.1% | Rutgers wins |