Purdue vs Iowa CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Purdue at Iowa. 2026-11-15 00:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #15. Line unavailable.
Purdue playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Iowa playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 24.7% | 27.0% | 0.1% |
| At-large | 24.0% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Oregon: 7.9% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Ohio State: 6.6% outcome swing; Iowa wins
- Ole Miss: 3.1% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Tennessee: 3.0% outcome swing; Purdue wins
- Indiana: 2.7% outcome swing; Purdue wins
Impacts if Purdue wins
- Oregon: 7.1% change; Purdue wins
- Ohio State: -5.7% change; Iowa wins
- Ole Miss: 2.8% change; Purdue wins
- Indiana: 2.5% change; Purdue wins
- Tennessee: 2.5% change; Purdue wins
Impacts if Iowa wins
- Ohio State: 0.9% change; Iowa wins
- Oregon: -0.8% change; Purdue wins
- Tennessee: -0.5% change; Purdue wins
- LSU: -0.3% change; Purdue wins
- Ole Miss: -0.3% change; Purdue wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Purdue wins | Iowa wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 0.1% | 27.0% | 26.9% | Iowa wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 35.4% | 27.5% | 7.9% | Purdue wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 6.6% | Iowa wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | Purdue wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 56.4% | 53.4% | 3.0% | Purdue wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 84.5% | 81.8% | 2.7% | Purdue wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 2.6% | Purdue wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 67.6% | 65.0% | 2.6% | Purdue wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 75.1% | 73.3% | 1.8% | Purdue wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 47.2% | 45.6% | 1.6% | Purdue wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 1.1% | Purdue wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 43.4% | 42.3% | 1.1% | Purdue wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 1.1% | Purdue wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 94.2% | 95.1% | 94.1% | 1.0% | Purdue wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 34.9% | 35.7% | 34.8% | 0.9% | Purdue wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 97.3% | 96.6% | 0.7% | Purdue wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 0.6% | Purdue wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 0.4% | Purdue wins |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | Purdue wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.7% | 98.4% | 0.3% | Purdue wins |