Wisconsin vs Maryland CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 11 pregame analysis for Wisconsin at Maryland. 2026-11-14 17:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #22. Line unavailable.
Wisconsin playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 4.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Maryland playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- Iowa: 5.2% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
- Ohio State: 3.5% outcome swing; Maryland wins
- Texas: 1.3% outcome swing; Maryland wins
- UCLA: 1.3% outcome swing; Wisconsin wins
- Indiana: 0.6% outcome swing; Maryland wins
Impacts if Wisconsin wins
- Iowa: 1.2% change; Wisconsin wins
- Ohio State: -0.6% change; Maryland wins
- UCLA: 0.4% change; Wisconsin wins
- Texas: -0.3% change; Maryland wins
- Ole Miss: -0.2% change; Maryland wins
Impacts if Maryland wins
- Iowa: -4.0% change; Wisconsin wins
- Ohio State: 2.9% change; Maryland wins
- Texas: 1.0% change; Maryland wins
- UCLA: -0.9% change; Wisconsin wins
- Indiana: 0.5% change; Maryland wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Wisconsin wins | Maryland wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Big Ten | 24.7% | 25.9% | 20.7% | 5.2% | Wisconsin wins |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 21.3% | 20.7% | 24.2% | 3.5% | Maryland wins |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 1.4% | Wisconsin wins |
| Texas | SEC | 73.4% | 73.1% | 74.4% | 1.3% | Maryland wins |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 65.3% | 65.7% | 64.4% | 1.3% | Wisconsin wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 82.0% | 81.9% | 82.5% | 0.6% | Maryland wins |
| LSU | SEC | 18.7% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 0.5% | Maryland wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 0.4% | Maryland wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 53.9% | 53.7% | 54.0% | 0.3% | Maryland wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 42.3% | 42.4% | 42.2% | 0.2% | Wisconsin wins |
| Miami | ACC | 98.4% | 98.3% | 98.5% | 0.2% | Maryland wins |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 0.2% | Maryland wins |
| USC | Big Ten | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 0.2% | Wisconsin wins |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 45.8% | 45.7% | 45.9% | 0.2% | Maryland wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 96.6% | 96.6% | 96.7% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 45.4% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |
| Liberty | Conference USA | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% | Wisconsin wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |
| Oregon | Big Ten | 28.3% | 28.4% | 28.5% | 0.1% | Maryland wins |