Washington State vs San Diego State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Washington State at San Diego State. 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #20. Line unavailable.
Washington State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
San Diego State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- UCLA: 4.0% outcome swing; San Diego State wins
- Arizona: 2.9% outcome swing; Washington State wins
- Texas Tech: 0.8% outcome swing; Washington State wins
- Houston: 0.7% outcome swing; Washington State wins
- Utah: 0.7% outcome swing; Washington State wins
Impacts if Washington State wins
Impacts if San Diego State wins
- UCLA: 1.9% change; San Diego State wins
- Arizona: -0.7% change; Washington State wins
- Utah: -0.6% change; Washington State wins
- Texas Tech: -0.5% change; Washington State wins
- LSU: 0.3% change; San Diego State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Washington State wins | San Diego State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Big Ten | 44.3% | 42.2% | 46.2% | 4.0% | San Diego State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 26.2% | 23.3% | 2.9% | Washington State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 51.2% | 50.4% | 0.8% | Washington State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 38.2% | 37.5% | 0.7% | Washington State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 71.8% | 71.1% | 0.7% | Washington State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 49.4% | 49.9% | 0.5% | San Diego State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 62.5% | 62.0% | 0.5% | Washington State wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | San Diego State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 81.6% | 82.0% | 0.4% | San Diego State wins |
| Tennessee | SEC | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 0.4% | San Diego State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 44.9% | 45.2% | 0.3% | San Diego State wins |
| North Texas | American Athletic | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.3% | Washington State wins |
| Missouri | SEC | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.2% | Washington State wins |
| Nebraska | Big Ten | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 0.2% | Washington State wins |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 0.2% | Washington State wins |
| Auburn | SEC | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | San Diego State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 63.7% | 63.6% | 0.1% | Washington State wins |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 0.1% | Washington State wins |
| Duke | ACC | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | San Diego State wins |
| Illinois | Big Ten | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Washington State wins |