Colorado State vs Utah State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 9 pregame analysis for Colorado State at Utah State. 2026-10-31 19:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #21. Line unavailable.
Colorado State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Utah State playoff paths
| Path | Current | With win | With loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFP | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| At-large | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Automatic bid | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conference title game | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Biggest non-participant CFP swings
- UTSA: 4.1% outcome swing; Colorado State wins
- Boise State: 2.1% outcome swing; Utah State wins
- BYU: 1.8% outcome swing; Colorado State wins
- Utah: 1.8% outcome swing; Utah State wins
- Houston: 0.4% outcome swing; Utah State wins
Impacts if Colorado State wins
- UTSA: 3.0% change; Colorado State wins
- Boise State: -1.3% change; Utah State wins
- Utah: -1.2% change; Utah State wins
- BYU: 1.0% change; Colorado State wins
- Houston: -0.4% change; Utah State wins
Impacts if Utah State wins
- UTSA: -1.1% change; Colorado State wins
- Boise State: 0.8% change; Utah State wins
- BYU: -0.8% change; Colorado State wins
- Utah: 0.6% change; Utah State wins
- LSU: 0.5% change; Utah State wins
Biggest modeled CFP impacts
This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
| Team | Conference | Current | Colorado State wins | Utah State wins | Swing | Better outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | American Athletic | 20.1% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 4.1% | Colorado State wins |
| Boise State | Pac-12 | 63.8% | 62.5% | 64.6% | 2.1% | Utah State wins |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62.1% | 63.1% | 61.3% | 1.8% | Colorado State wins |
| Utah | Big 12 | 71.7% | 70.5% | 72.3% | 1.8% | Utah State wins |
| Houston | Big 12 | 37.7% | 37.3% | 37.7% | 0.4% | Utah State wins |
| LSU | SEC | 44.9% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 0.4% | Utah State wins |
| New Mexico | Mountain West | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | Utah State wins |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 50.9% | 50.6% | 51.0% | 0.4% | Utah State wins |
| Alabama | SEC | 49.9% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 0.3% | Colorado State wins |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 24.0% | 24.3% | 24.0% | 0.3% | Colorado State wins |
| Army | American Athletic | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | Utah State wins |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | Utah State wins |
| Kentucky | SEC | 37.8% | 37.9% | 37.6% | 0.3% | Colorado State wins |
| Georgia | SEC | 82.0% | 82.2% | 82.0% | 0.2% | Colorado State wins |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | Utah State wins |
| Northwestern | Big Ten | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 0.2% | Utah State wins |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 0.2% | Utah State wins |
| Auburn | SEC | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | Colorado State wins |
| Florida | SEC | 18.7% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 0.1% | Utah State wins |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 91.9% | 91.9% | 92.0% | 0.1% | Utah State wins |