Colorado State vs Washington State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds

Week 11 pregame analysis for Colorado State at Washington State. 2026-11-15 03:30 UTC. National Impact rank: #49. Line unavailable.

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Colorado State playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Washington State playoff paths

PathCurrentWith winWith loss
CFP0.0%0.0%0.0%
At-large0.0%0.0%0.0%
Automatic bid0.0%0.0%0.0%
Conference title game0.0%0.0%0.0%

Biggest non-participant CFP swings

  1. Arizona: 0.9% outcome swing; Washington State wins
  2. BYU: 0.9% outcome swing; Colorado State wins
  3. Iowa: 0.2% outcome swing; Washington State wins
  4. Ole Miss: 0.2% outcome swing; Colorado State wins
  5. Tennessee: 0.2% outcome swing; Colorado State wins

Impacts if Colorado State wins

  1. Arizona: -0.7% change; Washington State wins
  2. BYU: 0.6% change; Colorado State wins
  3. Iowa: -0.2% change; Washington State wins
  4. Liberty: -0.2% change; Washington State wins
  5. Miami: 0.1% change; Colorado State wins

Impacts if Washington State wins

  1. BYU: -0.3% change; Colorado State wins
  2. Arizona: 0.2% change; Washington State wins
  3. Boise State: 0.1% change; Washington State wins
  4. Houston: 0.1% change; Washington State wins
  5. Liberty: -0.1% change; Washington State wins

Biggest modeled CFP impacts

This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.

TeamConferenceCurrentColorado State winsWashington State winsSwingBetter outcome
ArizonaBig 1217.3%16.6%17.5%0.9%Washington State wins
BYUBig 1242.3%42.9%42.0%0.9%Colorado State wins
IowaBig Ten24.7%24.5%24.7%0.2%Washington State wins
Ole MissSEC11.5%11.6%11.4%0.2%Colorado State wins
TennesseeSEC53.9%54.0%53.8%0.2%Colorado State wins
UCLABig Ten65.3%65.2%65.4%0.2%Washington State wins
Boise StatePac-1266.4%66.4%66.5%0.1%Washington State wins
HoustonBig 1245.3%45.3%45.4%0.1%Washington State wins
LibertyConference USA3.2%3.0%3.1%0.1%Washington State wins
MiamiACC98.4%98.5%98.4%0.1%Colorado State wins
New MexicoMountain West27.9%27.9%27.8%0.1%Colorado State wins
North TexasAmerican Athletic2.4%2.5%2.4%0.1%Colorado State wins
Texas TechBig 1234.9%34.8%34.9%0.1%Washington State wins
UTSAAmerican Athletic0.6%0.7%0.6%0.1%Colorado State wins
Air ForceMountain West0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AkronMid-American0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
AlabamaSEC96.6%96.6%96.6%0.0%Either outcome
App StateSun Belt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
Arizona StateBig 120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome
ArkansasSEC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Either outcome