Colorado State vs Texas State CFP Impact & Playoff Odds
Week 7 pregame analysis for Colorado State at Texas State . 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC. National Impact rank: #41. Texas State -12.5.
Rooting Guide
National Impact
CFP Odds
Conference Standings
Projected CFP Bracket
Back to National Impact
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 0.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Path Current With win With loss CFP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% At-large 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Automatic bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Conference title game 2.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Biggest non-participant CFP swings BYU : 2.2% outcome swing; Colorado State winsLSU : 0.8% outcome swing; Texas State winsBoise State : 0.7% outcome swing; Colorado State winsJames Madison : 0.4% outcome swing; Texas State winsMissouri : 0.4% outcome swing; Texas State winsImpacts if Colorado State wins BYU : 1.8% change; Colorado State winsBoise State : 0.6% change; Colorado State winsLSU : -0.6% change; Texas State winsMissouri : -0.4% change; Texas State winsTennessee : -0.4% change; Texas State winsImpacts if Texas State wins BYU : -0.4% change; Colorado State winsLSU : 0.2% change; Texas State winsOhio State : 0.2% change; Texas State winsBoise State : -0.1% change; Colorado State winsFlorida : 0.1% change; Texas State winsBiggest modeled CFP impacts This table compares each team’s current CFP probability with the two possible game outcomes. It is a pregame model view, not an official ranking or sportsbook market.
Team Conference Current Colorado State wins Texas State wins Swing Better outcome BYU Big 12 36.5% 38.3% 36.1% 2.2% Colorado State wins LSU SEC 18.1% 17.5% 18.3% 0.8% Texas State wins Boise State Pac-12 69.5% 70.1% 69.4% 0.7% Colorado State wins James Madison Sun Belt 9.9% 9.6% 10.0% 0.4% Texas State wins Missouri SEC 16.4% 16.0% 16.4% 0.4% Texas State wins Tennessee SEC 14.7% 14.3% 14.7% 0.4% Texas State wins Utah Big 12 59.3% 59.6% 59.2% 0.4% Colorado State wins Alabama SEC 77.1% 76.8% 77.1% 0.3% Texas State wins Arizona Big 12 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 0.3% Colorado State wins Indiana Big Ten 87.5% 87.2% 87.5% 0.3% Texas State wins Kentucky SEC 13.9% 13.6% 13.9% 0.3% Texas State wins Oklahoma State Big 12 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 0.3% Colorado State wins Ole Miss SEC 19.2% 19.0% 19.3% 0.3% Texas State wins Texas Tech Big 12 76.2% 76.4% 76.1% 0.3% Colorado State wins Mississippi State SEC 5.8% 5.6% 5.8% 0.2% Texas State wins Ohio State Big Ten 78.7% 78.7% 78.9% 0.2% Texas State wins Auburn SEC 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% Texas State wins Florida SEC 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 0.1% Texas State wins Houston Big 12 42.0% 42.1% 42.0% 0.1% Colorado State wins Iowa Big Ten 18.4% 18.4% 18.5% 0.1% Texas State wins